Whenever major macro milestones such as the CPI and the FOMC occur, divergences between market prices and underlying fundamentals often reflect the logic of a large player’s transfer of holdings. The blogger, DONGBI MAO, warns that the likelihood of a CPI downside on Friday is relatively high, and provides an in-depth breakdown of their trading tactics.
🔍 Breakdown of the core trading process:
The battle traps before the data:
The substance of the rebound: The crypto market and U.S. stocks rising ahead of time is not a complete reversal of fundamentals, but rather the large players pushing up prices before the data is released to attract chase-buying demand.
Washout plan: On Friday, when the data is published, use the negative news as an excuse to press down in line with the trend, completing a rapid reshuffling of positions.
Position management and defensive execution:
Unmoved as a mountain: “Continue holding the bottom-position stake without changing,” and avoid making frequent blind rebalancing or chasing prices before data is released.
Beware of high leverage: Derivatives traders should watch out for the bidirectional 'whips' that happen at the exact moment data is released; keep leverage ratios in check and set stop-loss levels.
Understand the main players' washout tactics so you can hold on to core profits when a macro storm arrives.
#BTC分析 #ETH分析 #CPI分析 #行情研判 #风险控制
