To be honest, there’s a surge of unusual activity. The $TRUMP order book structure is sending signals—this push you could say isn’t entirely unexpected. I’ve been watching changes in volume on the four-hour timeframe for a while. The high-position lots left behind after the earlier surge are stacked too densely. Every time the price rebounds into that zone, you can clearly see selling pressure being released. With this kind of structure, it’s very difficult for the price to flip straight upward. Until the overhead trapped positions are cleared properly, any rebound is basically handing opportunities to the shorts. There are two key logics.
First is the relationship between volume and price. In the past few attempts to break upward, the trading volume has been weaker each time, which suggests the willingness to chase higher is fading—the buy side can’t catch. Second is the structure. After the earlier support level was broken, it has already flipped into resistance. The pullback-and-confirmation move has also run its course. Next, it’s more likely that price will continue probing downward along the original direction. As for market sentiment, attention around this type of theme comes quickly and leaves just as fast. After the liquidity/flow tide retreats, price often returns to the level where the chips truly want to be absorbed. I won’t guess where the bottom is, but based on current order-book feedback, the downside room hasn’t finished playing out yet.
On the risk-reward side, the logic for shorting into a rebound is more straightforward than trying to bottom-fish, because every layer above is made up of real trapped lots, while below there’s a lack of an obvious absorption structure. If you really want to participate, timing matters more than direction. Don’t chase during a sharp selloff—wait and consider it again only after the rebound lacks follow-through. This market can’t be rushed. $TRUMP
Gaze across the vastness of mountains and seas, and observe the market’s smallest movements.
Travel alongside Uncle Xiong and witness gains and losses day by day.
#TRUMP
Click below to trade 👇
First is the relationship between volume and price. In the past few attempts to break upward, the trading volume has been weaker each time, which suggests the willingness to chase higher is fading—the buy side can’t catch. Second is the structure. After the earlier support level was broken, it has already flipped into resistance. The pullback-and-confirmation move has also run its course. Next, it’s more likely that price will continue probing downward along the original direction. As for market sentiment, attention around this type of theme comes quickly and leaves just as fast. After the liquidity/flow tide retreats, price often returns to the level where the chips truly want to be absorbed. I won’t guess where the bottom is, but based on current order-book feedback, the downside room hasn’t finished playing out yet.
On the risk-reward side, the logic for shorting into a rebound is more straightforward than trying to bottom-fish, because every layer above is made up of real trapped lots, while below there’s a lack of an obvious absorption structure. If you really want to participate, timing matters more than direction. Don’t chase during a sharp selloff—wait and consider it again only after the rebound lacks follow-through. This market can’t be rushed. $TRUMP
Gaze across the vastness of mountains and seas, and observe the market’s smallest movements.
Travel alongside Uncle Xiong and witness gains and losses day by day.
#TRUMP
Click below to trade 👇