XRP MOVES ABOVE BOTH MAs, BUT THE GOLDEN CROSS IS STILL UNCONFIRMED
August’s rebound pushed XRP above its 50-day and 200-day SMAs, but has not confirmed a reversal. XRP climbed from 1.00 USD on August 18 to an intraday high of 1.6996 USD on August 22, before pulling back toward 1.42 USD.
Importantly, trading above both MAs does not mean a golden cross. The 50-day SMA remains below the 200-day SMA; a golden cross only appears when the shorter average crosses above the longer one. Since MAs are based on past closing prices, the signal is inherently lagging and confirms an established trend.
XRP’s 2025 history shows the same pattern. The golden cross appeared after XRP had already risen from 2.20 to 3.60 USD, meaning the crossover itself did not cause the rally.
The 1.35 USD level is now key support; a break below could expose 1.28 USD. Above, 1.44–1.46 USD is being watched; a close above 1.46 USD could open the path toward 1.50–1.52 USD.
Three upcoming events could affect price: U.S. CPI on September 11, the CLARITY Act cloture vote on September 15, and the Fed rate decision on September 16. Markets are pricing a 60% chance of a 25-basis-point Fed hike.
Capital flows are also notable. CME’s share of XRP futures open interest rose from around 10% in mid-August to 17%, while exposure there previously reached 36% as positions on other venues fell by 533 million tokens. XRP ETFs continued to attract inflows, with nearly 2 million USD on Tuesday; the five products have attracted 1.69 billion USD in total, including 173 million USD over 30 days.
The data points to improving XRP structure, but not yet a confirmed reversal. If a golden cross appears, it will more likely confirm an existing trend than initiate one.
Can XRP hold above 1.35 USD long enough for the 50-day SMA to overtake the 200-day SMA?
Please do your own research carefully before making any transactions (DYOR). $XRP $KAT $MINA #Colecolen
August’s rebound pushed XRP above its 50-day and 200-day SMAs, but has not confirmed a reversal. XRP climbed from 1.00 USD on August 18 to an intraday high of 1.6996 USD on August 22, before pulling back toward 1.42 USD.
Importantly, trading above both MAs does not mean a golden cross. The 50-day SMA remains below the 200-day SMA; a golden cross only appears when the shorter average crosses above the longer one. Since MAs are based on past closing prices, the signal is inherently lagging and confirms an established trend.
XRP’s 2025 history shows the same pattern. The golden cross appeared after XRP had already risen from 2.20 to 3.60 USD, meaning the crossover itself did not cause the rally.
The 1.35 USD level is now key support; a break below could expose 1.28 USD. Above, 1.44–1.46 USD is being watched; a close above 1.46 USD could open the path toward 1.50–1.52 USD.
Three upcoming events could affect price: U.S. CPI on September 11, the CLARITY Act cloture vote on September 15, and the Fed rate decision on September 16. Markets are pricing a 60% chance of a 25-basis-point Fed hike.
Capital flows are also notable. CME’s share of XRP futures open interest rose from around 10% in mid-August to 17%, while exposure there previously reached 36% as positions on other venues fell by 533 million tokens. XRP ETFs continued to attract inflows, with nearly 2 million USD on Tuesday; the five products have attracted 1.69 billion USD in total, including 173 million USD over 30 days.
The data points to improving XRP structure, but not yet a confirmed reversal. If a golden cross appears, it will more likely confirm an existing trend than initiate one.
Can XRP hold above 1.35 USD long enough for the 50-day SMA to overtake the 200-day SMA?
Please do your own research carefully before making any transactions (DYOR). $XRP $KAT $MINA #Colecolen
