$ETH Current price is 2505, stuck in the middle zone (2497-2515). This is the range with the lowest single-trade win rate—the best move is to do nothing.
Wait until the price reaches the edge before taking action. Below are four defensive lines for both longs and shorts:
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🟢 Longs (support below), from near to far:
① 2497-2500 → 1-hour mid-band; low volume down here is the first long signal
② 2483-2488 → 4-hour MA60; longs’ psychological line of defense
③ 2473-2475 → Today’s low; the level where shorts can’t seem to break it
🔥 2455-2460 → Final bottom line! A high-volume break below means completely giving up on the long side
🔴 Shorts (resistance above), from near to far:
① 2515-2518 → Tonight’s rebound high; low volume here is the first short signal
② 2522-2525 → Previous daily high; the spot where it was smashed after three top attempts
③ 2541-2545 → 4-hour BOLL upper band; only if CPI is good can it reach (and touch) it
🔥 2566-2570 → Final bottom line! Breakout with high volume—completely give up on shorts
📌 Trading idea:
· Reach 2497-2500 → Try long; stop loss 2490; target 2515
· Move to 2515-2518 → Try short; stop loss 2525; target 2500
· Middle zone (2497-2515) → Watch and do nothing
· Breakout at 2522 → Pullback then go long
· Break below 2473 → Bounce then short
⚠️ Risk warning:
The September 11 CPI data is the biggest “bomb” of this month. Before the release, large funds are all watching from the sidelines—don’t place big orders. Treat all actions as swing trades: if you have gains, take profit—don’t get greedy. Once the final line of defense is broken with high volume, you must admit it and change course.
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Personal opinion only and not investment advice; DYOR!
