$BTC evening session again churns back to around $79,400, up 1.35% over 24 hours, with an intraday high-low range of more than $2,100. It looks like a small bullish candle, but over the week, this candle is stuck inside the $77,000 to $80,500 box—neither breaking above nor below. Jiang Zhuoer just posted a script: first surge to $83,000–$84,000, then dip back to $72,000 to complete the adjustment. He favors the latter, waiting to buy after the pullback. On-chain, that side has also spent—an “output profit rate” metric has been staying above the breakeven line for three straight weeks, setting this year’s longest record. Selling pressure is building heavier and heavier, and the in-market profit-takers can take profits at any time. Over at the whale side there’s also movement: an address that had been silent for 11 months suddenly deposited funds last night, choosing not BTC but a smaller coin like VVV to go long—capital hasn’t flowed into the mainstream. The sentiment index has dropped four slots in a row, falling from 74 at the start of the month to 66 today. Cooling is happening in-market, while those outside are still hesitating. This week, if the level above—around the 80,000 whole number—can’t hold, you’ll have to trade sideways around that $77,000 step. Only if it truly breaks down and the retest holds will there be room for the next wave of momentum.

#BTC晚盘 #江卓尔剧本 #sentiment drops and cools