📊 Before PPI and CPI, what does BTC look like now?

The most important thing for BTC right now isn’t guessing whether it will go up or down—it’s whether the market can hold key levels once the data comes out.

This week, PPI and CPI will be released consecutively, and market volatility is likely to increase significantly. Especially recently, oil prices have been rising and inflation expectations are heating up, and Fed interest-rate expectations are also changing again.

My view is still this:

BTC is moderately bullish in the medium term, but it’s not suitable to FOMO before the data is released.

📌 If PPI and CPI are below expectations:
Rate-cut expectations will heat up. If BTC reclaims 80K and breaks above 82K, the market may have a chance to move higher again.

📌 If the data matches expectations:
I’m more inclined to expect consolidation in a high range. The key is whether 78K—80K can be held.

📌 If the data is clearly above expectations:
The market may start trading “high interest rates” again. If BTC breaks below 78K, be careful about further pullbacks.

So my strategy right now is simple:

Don’t chase before the data; after the data, look at the structure.

A breakout and hold above 82K—83K → bullish continuation.
Hold 78K—80K → keep looking for a long setup.
Lose 78K → be cautious for the short term.

PPI is just the first checkpoint. The real factor that determines the market’s next phase direction is what I care about more: Friday’s CPI.