I think these four lines fit the recent market conditions perfectly. When the market is too volatile, it truly becomes a test of human nature.

Jesse Livermore, this legendary trader from a century ago, spent his whole life getting wiped out, going bankrupt, and rising from the brink—leaving future generations with a bundle of hard-earned lessons forged with gold and silver.

Have you ever felt that it’s not really teaching stock-trading techniques at all, but rather human nature? Today I’m going to distill four of the most core principles for everyone. Each one can save your life at critical moments.

First sentence: The market is always right—only you can be wrong.

When Livermore was young, he was famous in local speculative circles as a “boy assassin,” with a win rate over 90%—and by the age of 20 he had made $10,000. Back then, he believed he was a born genius, and that the market was his personal ATM.

But once he got to Wall Street in New York, he lost everything and went bankrupt.

Why? Because bucket shops are closed betting games: you just watch the intraday chart and guess whether prices will rise or fall. The real market is different. The quotes and execution prices you see are affected by slippage; your buy orders can push prices up, and your sell orders can create gaps. More importantly, the overall market trend determines the fate of most stocks.

Only after going bankrupt did Livermore finally understand: the money he'd won before had come from the owners of bucket shops, not from the market. He'd learned how to bet against the house, not how to trade.

This is just as true today.

When people lose money, many blame the big players, government policies, or the market. They assume they were right and the market was wrong. But think about it: the market is the result of all its participants voting with their money. How could it be wrong? It's your judgment that's wrong.

If you think a stock is undervalued and it falls, the market is telling you that your judgment may be wrong. If you think the market can keep rising and it falls, the market is telling you it's time to step aside.

Never argue with the market. Never say, "The market is wrong." The market is always right. Your job isn't to prove you're right, but to follow the market when it's right.

Second lesson: Big profits come from trends, not from constant trading.

After going bankrupt, Livermore made his first major shift in understanding: he stopped guessing whether prices would rise or fall and started looking at the broader trend.

He stopped obsessively trading every one- or two-minute price fluctuation. He stopped trying to nail the exact bottom and top on every trade. Instead, he focused on studying the broader market trend, monetary conditions, and supply and demand.

And the result? At just 24, he earned his first $100,000.

He once said, "The way to make big money has never been frequent trading, but patient holding."

This goes against human nature. Most people get restless if they don't make a trade every day. They chase rising prices and sell in a panic when prices fall, keeping themselves incredibly busy. By the end of the year, they've paid plenty in commissions but made hardly any money.

Livermore tells you that truly big profits come from catching a few major trends and holding your positions long enough for them to pay off.

How do you catch a trend? His method was simple: wait for a breakout.

When prices move sideways within a range, buyers and sellers are battling it out, and no one knows who will win. If you enter early, you're just gambling on luck.

Only when the price decisively breaks through a key resistance level, buyers and sellers have settled the contest, and the path of least resistance is clear, is there a high-confidence opportunity worth taking.

Many people think they need to get in ahead of everyone else and buy early to make big money. But Livermore tells you that leaving the first part of the move on the table and taking only the middle is the approach with the highest odds and the lowest risk.

It may look like you're a step behind, but in reality, you've avoided most of the uncertainty.

Third lesson: Cut your losses and let your profits run.

This saying has been around the trading world for 100 years, but 90% of people get it backwards.

Human nature works like this: when we're losing money, we cling to the hope that prices will recover and refuse to cut our losses. When we're making money, we become anxious and rush to lock in even a small profit, afraid it will slip away.

The result is that you lose big when you're wrong and make little when you're right. Over the long run, that inevitably leads to losses.

Livermore did the exact opposite: if he realized he was wrong about the direction, he would admit it and exit immediately, even if he was down just one point. He never let a loss grow. But as long as the broader trend remained intact, he wouldn't close a position even if it pulled back 20%. He gave the trend room to run and his profits room to grow.

He said, "Losing money doesn't keep me awake at night. Making a mistake does."

What does that mean? A loss from following your stop-loss rules is a planned cost of trading—normal and acceptable, and not worth worrying about. What really keeps you awake at night is breaking your own trading rules: refusing to cut a loss when you should, or taking profits too early when you should stay in the trade.

He also had a very clear method for adding to a position: pyramiding.

When starting a trade, first use one-fifth of your total position size to test the waters. If that first entry makes money, the market is confirming your judgment, so you can gradually add to the position. If it loses money right away, your judgment may be wrong. Cut your losses and exit immediately—never add to the position just to lower your average cost.

Many people like to buy more as prices fall, thinking they'll lower their average cost and quickly break even if the price rebounds. But in reality, they're doubling down on a judgment that's already been proven wrong, using a bigger bet to cover up an earlier mistake. More often than not, they end up deeper and deeper in the hole.

Remember: only add to winning positions. Never average down on losing positions.

The fourth lesson: Your greatest enemy is always yourself.

Livermore went bankrupt several times in his life. In most cases, it wasn't the market that beat him—it was himself.

He was defeated by going all in out of greed, by refusing to cut losses on the off chance things would turn around, and by adding to losing positions because he couldn't accept being wrong.

In his book, he described three traps rooted in human nature, each one hitting ordinary traders right where it hurts.

The first trap: hope and fear.

When a position is showing an unrealized loss, you cling to hope and refuse to let go. You hope the market will rebound, that the bad news will be fully priced in, or that you'll eventually break even. The result? A small loss turns into a deeply underwater position.

When a position is showing an unrealized profit, fear quickly takes over your mind. You're afraid of giving back your gains, of riding a roller coaster, of watching your profits vanish. So you sell after making just a dozen or so points, then watch helplessly as the stock goes on to make several times more in its main rally.

Hope and fear are survival instincts etched into our genes. But in the market, these instincts run completely counter to sound reasoning.

The second trap: personal obligations.

Out of gratitude, Livermore once passed up a short-selling opportunity that his own analysis had identified. Instead, he helped a friend cover for insiders who were unloading their shares. He ended up losing millions of dollars and missing an entire bear market’s window for shorting. It took him four years to return to the peak of his trading career.

In the world of professional trading, personal obligations are the most expensive liabilities. Buying a stock because a friend gives you an inside tip, purchasing an investment product to please a relative, or copying a colleague's trades just to fit in—all of these mean substituting personal ties for professional judgment. And when the losses finally hit, no one will take responsibility for them but you.

The third trap: inside information.

Livermore said that 90% of inside tips are traps laid for you. Insiders will tell you when to buy, but never when to sell—because they need you to come in and take the shares off their hands, not to make money alongside them.

Many traders don't lose big because their analysis or judgment was wrong. They lose because they choose to give up independent thinking. They'd rather believe a stranger's offhand remark than trust a trading thesis they've tested again and again.

A few final words

Today's markets are worlds apart from those of his time. Trading instruments have evolved, market rules have changed repeatedly, and information now travels tens of thousands of times faster.

But one thing has never changed: human nature.

Fear and greed, wishful thinking and refusal to accept a loss, the desire for shortcuts and the aversion to losses—these are part of everyone's nature and lie behind every decision we make.

Reading *Reminiscences of a Stock Operator* isn't about finishing the book and rushing into the market to trade. It's about gaining a deeper respect for uncertainty and becoming more wary of your instincts after witnessing the rise and fall of a legendary trader's life.

In the end, trading is never about how sophisticated your techniques are or how quickly you get the news. It's about inner discipline and the limits of your understanding.

Techniques can be learned, rules can be memorized, and market moves can be waited for. But emotions etched into your instincts, personal ties woven into your relationships, and shortcut-seeking thinking ingrained in your mindset are the hardest mountains to climb on the road to trading success.

#中国8月CPI同比涨0.8% #美军打击霍尔木兹岛及贾斯克目标 #原油涨至7月来最高 #美军击毁5艘伊朗油轮 #美股收跌英特尔涨9%