#原油涨至7月来最高 Oil prices really about to break 100? Don’t go head-on with the trend

Brent crude has already surged to $99.46—just the final bit away from $100. WTI has also reclaimed $94. Over the past week, Brent is up nearly 8%, and WTI is even pushing toward 10%.

This rally isn’t just a technical story anymore.

As tensions between the U.S. and Iran escalate, things are getting harsher. U.S. forces directly struck an Iranian oil tanker, and the Houthis weren’t idle either—within 48 hours, they hit three Saudi oil refining facilities. Shipping through the Strait of Hormuz has dropped sharply. At one point, only two bulk commodity vessels were left per day. The market’s concern about Middle East supply isn’t just talk anymore—real money is pouring in.

Goldman Sachs has also warned that if the conflict further escalates, oil prices could rise to $120. So if you’re still thinking about going short crude, you really need to weigh it carefully. Once this kind of momentum takes off, it’s only a matter of time before shorts are squeezed repeatedly. Betting on a pullback while holding a short position is simply too risky.

If you already hold long positions in CL, keep holding them. The target is initially $100. Consolidation around $93 is completely normal. If there’s a subsequent pullback, it could actually be an opportunity to re-enter at a better level.

Oil is down to just one last twitch from $100. This trend isn’t over yet—don’t fight it head-on.

#美军击毁5艘伊朗油轮
#美军打击霍尔木兹岛及贾斯克目标

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