The popular $ARB breakout read is early. ARB is 0.1688, down 0.764% over 24 hours, and the last 4h candle closed at 0.1684 after failing to hold 0.1703. That is not proof sellers control the trend, but it is a clear warning against treating every bounce as continuation. The stronger tell is whether price can reclaim the failed micro-resistance without immediately losing the range floor. I enter only if a 4h close reclaims 0.1703, with 0.1652 as invalidation and 0.1772 as the next 24-48h objective. Rule: no reclaim, no setup. #YenBreaks155NearingYearHigh #USIranTradeTankerStrikesEscalate