Today $UB directly dropped 9.6%, and this kind of drawdown is worth noting in a routine post-trade review. Turning to the Real Time Big Data from 08/09 for the opinion poll of the senator race in Ceará, a few numbers are quite interesting: Cid Gomes 27%, Luizianne 20%, Cap Wagner 20%, and Alcides 17%. Cap Wagner is on the side of $UB ; his poll results, when viewed alongside $UB ’s price action today, seem a bit like the market is pricing uncertainty. The gap between the top two isn’t that large, and the rest are fairly close too—under this kind of setup, $UB is likely to swing back and forth with the news flow. Technically, today’s bearish candle has already wiped out a good portion of the rebounds from the past few days. For near-term support, we need to see whether it can form around the lows. Right now, it feels more like we’re waiting for direction to become clear; when sentiment is cautious, chasing highs doesn’t make much sense. At this point, I’m inclined to record the data first, and then reassess once there are updated poll results or signals that the price has stabilized—at least wait for a confirming move before considering entry. If $UB continues to weaken, we should be alert to the risk of further downside.