Before each major market uptrend begins, the market basically does not rocket straight upward. Most of the time it rises a bit, then consolidates; after breaking out, it pulls back again. By repeatedly grinding the market, it wears down people’s nerves and shatters their mindset.
When the market drops a lot, everyone knows it’s a bear market. When it surges violently, you can also clearly see that a bull market is here. The hardest part is always the transition period when bull and bear markets are switching.
Right now, the market is in exactly this state: when there’s good news, price rises and capital becomes active, but it can’t sustain a continuous short-squeeze. The moment BTC pulls back, altcoins slump along with it. What looks like a breakout today gets slammed back down tomorrow. Many people directly conclude that this is another bull trap.
But the reality is: a truly big trend won’t wait until everyone confirms that the bull market has arrived, and then offer you a comfortable entry window. The market relies on back-and-forth volatility to wash out trapped positions, shake off short-term profit-takers, and constantly make bears think this is the top.
The real trend shift will show these signals: the pullbacks become smaller and smaller, negative news can’t shake the order book, BTC doesn’t fall back easily after breaking through, major coins rise in rotation, altcoins stop being “one-day wonders,” and the positive trading effect spreads from a few coins to a broader range.
So I won’t simply declare that a full bull market is here. The market still needs one more strong confirmation. But I also won’t label every rebound that includes a pullback as a bull trap. In the early stage of a bull market, it doesn’t look like a bull market at all. By the time everyone finally understands, the good entry window is already gone.
Others may hesitate and miss how much they could have made at the top. What’s most frightening is when the trend has already turned good, but your thinking is still stuck in the inertia of a bear market: after a little rise you start looking bearish, after a breakout you short, after a pullback you say the bull market is over—guessing the top all the way. That’s what actually hands ammunition to the longs.
The biggest loss in the crypto market isn’t making a wrong trade once; it’s that the market’s script has already been rewritten, yet your understanding is still stuck in the previous cycle. #BTC
When the market drops a lot, everyone knows it’s a bear market. When it surges violently, you can also clearly see that a bull market is here. The hardest part is always the transition period when bull and bear markets are switching.
Right now, the market is in exactly this state: when there’s good news, price rises and capital becomes active, but it can’t sustain a continuous short-squeeze. The moment BTC pulls back, altcoins slump along with it. What looks like a breakout today gets slammed back down tomorrow. Many people directly conclude that this is another bull trap.
But the reality is: a truly big trend won’t wait until everyone confirms that the bull market has arrived, and then offer you a comfortable entry window. The market relies on back-and-forth volatility to wash out trapped positions, shake off short-term profit-takers, and constantly make bears think this is the top.
The real trend shift will show these signals: the pullbacks become smaller and smaller, negative news can’t shake the order book, BTC doesn’t fall back easily after breaking through, major coins rise in rotation, altcoins stop being “one-day wonders,” and the positive trading effect spreads from a few coins to a broader range.
So I won’t simply declare that a full bull market is here. The market still needs one more strong confirmation. But I also won’t label every rebound that includes a pullback as a bull trap. In the early stage of a bull market, it doesn’t look like a bull market at all. By the time everyone finally understands, the good entry window is already gone.
Others may hesitate and miss how much they could have made at the top. What’s most frightening is when the trend has already turned good, but your thinking is still stuck in the inertia of a bear market: after a little rise you start looking bearish, after a breakout you short, after a pullback you say the bull market is over—guessing the top all the way. That’s what actually hands ammunition to the longs.
The biggest loss in the crypto market isn’t making a wrong trade once; it’s that the market’s script has already been rewritten, yet your understanding is still stuck in the previous cycle. #BTC