I don't trade prediction markets, I just read them.
When Kalshi or Polymarket prices something at 60%, that tells me more than listening to five talking heads on CNBC.
Probabilities > opinions.
Just don't chase the number. Use it to calibrate your own view.
When Kalshi or Polymarket prices something at 60%, that tells me more than listening to five talking heads on CNBC.
Probabilities > opinions.
Just don't chase the number. Use it to calibrate your own view.