It wasn’t $BTC who tricked him—it was he who tricked himself.
Last night $BTC saw a small range of oscillation again: the 24-hour high was $80,559.99, the low was $79,001.10. Now it’s hovering around $79,420, down 0.62%. In the group, some people are panicking, and others ask me if the half-cycle行情 is over. I just want to tell a story.
I know an old miner. Before the 2020 halving, the coin price had been hovering around $9,000 for two full months. Everyone online was shouting, “This time is different,” saying the halving’s benefits had already been priced in. He pledged all his mining machines, took on leverage, and bought the coin. The people around him laughed at him, calling him stupid, waiting for him to liquidate. So what happened? Half a year later, $BTC surged past $60,000.
He isn’t the smartest, but he understands one truth: the logic of the halving cycle never changes—what changes is people’s hearts.
Look at today’s chart: the 1-hour candlesticks are ugly. Out of four lines, three are green, yet all of them have only tiny amplitudes—fraction-of-a-percent moves. Some say this is “a bearish grind with no volume,” that the main force is distributing. But what about the funding rate? +0.0030%—the longs are paying, which is slightly bullish. What does that imply? Market sentiment hasn’t collapsed; everyone is just waiting for a signal, like the calm before a storm.
I often feel that the most expensive thing in the crypto market isn’t tuition—it’s the obsession of “you think this time is different.” In the 2016 halving, people said miners’ costs were too high to hold up. In the 2020 halving, people said the pandemic would collapse the global economy. In 2024’s halving, someone even brought up the Fed rate hikes. Every year has the perfect bearish reason, but every year, $BTC proves the power of the cycle with time.
Of course, I’m not telling you to blindly bottom-fish. Look at the trading volume: in 24 hours, only 10440 units of $BTC were traded. This volume can’t truly prove that big money is already stepping in—they’re still watching. Real opportunities often show up when everyone is too afraid to move.
And if tomorrow $BTC suddenly drops to 70,000, will you get scared and cut your loss, or will you dare to add more? The comment section, pick a side—I’ll see how many people truly believe, and how many are just pretending.👇
#比特币 #减半周期 #crypto investment
Last night $BTC saw a small range of oscillation again: the 24-hour high was $80,559.99, the low was $79,001.10. Now it’s hovering around $79,420, down 0.62%. In the group, some people are panicking, and others ask me if the half-cycle行情 is over. I just want to tell a story.
I know an old miner. Before the 2020 halving, the coin price had been hovering around $9,000 for two full months. Everyone online was shouting, “This time is different,” saying the halving’s benefits had already been priced in. He pledged all his mining machines, took on leverage, and bought the coin. The people around him laughed at him, calling him stupid, waiting for him to liquidate. So what happened? Half a year later, $BTC surged past $60,000.
He isn’t the smartest, but he understands one truth: the logic of the halving cycle never changes—what changes is people’s hearts.
Look at today’s chart: the 1-hour candlesticks are ugly. Out of four lines, three are green, yet all of them have only tiny amplitudes—fraction-of-a-percent moves. Some say this is “a bearish grind with no volume,” that the main force is distributing. But what about the funding rate? +0.0030%—the longs are paying, which is slightly bullish. What does that imply? Market sentiment hasn’t collapsed; everyone is just waiting for a signal, like the calm before a storm.
I often feel that the most expensive thing in the crypto market isn’t tuition—it’s the obsession of “you think this time is different.” In the 2016 halving, people said miners’ costs were too high to hold up. In the 2020 halving, people said the pandemic would collapse the global economy. In 2024’s halving, someone even brought up the Fed rate hikes. Every year has the perfect bearish reason, but every year, $BTC proves the power of the cycle with time.
Of course, I’m not telling you to blindly bottom-fish. Look at the trading volume: in 24 hours, only 10440 units of $BTC were traded. This volume can’t truly prove that big money is already stepping in—they’re still watching. Real opportunities often show up when everyone is too afraid to move.
And if tomorrow $BTC suddenly drops to 70,000, will you get scared and cut your loss, or will you dare to add more? The comment section, pick a side—I’ll see how many people truly believe, and how many are just pretending.👇
#比特币 #减半周期 #crypto investment
