Fear and Greed Index at 71, in the greed zone. BTC is trading at $79,933, battling around the $80,000 level and, after fluctuating between $78,600 and $80,300 over the weekend, has moved back near 80,000. The U.S. Treasury has begun weekly Treasury buybacks with a cap of $14.5 billion today, and the liquidity injection is positive for risk assets. Last Friday, August nonfarm payrolls came in above expectations at 162,000, cooling rate-cut expectations, but BTC ETFs saw $1.01 billion of inflows over the past three days, with total assets surpassing $100 billion, providing institutional support. This week's key variables: the September 11 CPI release and the Federal Reserve meeting. The altcoin market is highly divergent—ZEC rose 40% on the week, breaking above 1,200, LINK, DOT, and NEAR all surged, while previously overextended UNI and BNB pulled back.

Crypto recommendations

LINK

Current: $13.07 | 24h +7.33% | 7d +15.37% | Composite score 82/100

Prediction: bullish, 3-day target $14-$14.5. LINK broke above $13 on strong volume, with a 7-day gain of 15%, making it the strongest among infrastructure plays. Catalysts from the Grayscale Chainlink Trust ETF progress and the RWA tokenization wave are driving dual momentum, and institutional allocation demand for the oracle infrastructure leader remains strong.

Logic: Strong-volume breakout above 13 + RWA infrastructure + ETF catalyst.

Risk: If the broader market pulls back, it may retest 12.2. 12.5 support.

DOT

Current: $1.006 | 24h +9.11% | 7d +19.76% | Composite score 78/100

Prediction: bullish, 3-day target $1.08-$1.12. DOT broke above the $1 psychological level, with a 7-day gain of 20%; the Polkadot 2.0 upgrade narrative continues to build, and cross-chain ecosystem资金 is flowing back. The breakout on heavy volume has opened up more upside.

Logic: Break above $1 + Polkadot 2.0 + cross-chain inflows.

Risk: If the broader market pulls back, it may retest 0.94. 0.97 support.

ZEC

Current: $1,184 | 24h +10.51% | 7d +39.73% | Composite score 30/100

Prediction: choppy to bearish, 3-day target $1,000-$1,080. ZEC has surged continuously, breaking above 1,200 intraday (high of 1,230), with a 7-day gain of 40%; since late August it has risen more than 140% from the $500 range, driven clearly by a short squeeze ($34 million in short liquidations). The privacy narrative has limited support, and the risk of a sharp correction after extreme overbought conditions is high.

Logic: 40% weekly gain overbought + short squeeze + high-level heavy volume.

Risk: In a strong trend, don’t easily call the top; if the squeeze continues, it may reach 1,300. Use strict stop losses.

U.S. stock recommendations

NVDA

Current: Japanese and Korean memory chip stocks surge, Kioxia +8%, SK Hynix +6%

Prediction: bullish, 3-day target $230-$240. The surge in Asian chip stocks is boosting sentiment in the AI sector, and NVDA’s post-earnings strength continues. The 2028 fiscal-year guidance for 70% growth supports valuation, and any pullback before the September 11 CPI release is a buying window.

Logic: AI boom + Asian chip resonance + strong demand guidance.

Risk: If the September 11 CPI comes in above expectations, it may trigger a tech stock pullback.

MU

Current: SK Hynix rises 6% to a new phase high, with HBM demand continuing to expand

Prediction: bullish, 3-day target to maintain strength. The sharp rise in SK Hynix and Samsung memory chip stocks confirms the HBM boom, and Micron directly benefits as a core HBM supplier, with the AI capex cycle supporting earnings elasticity.

Logic: HBM boom + memory cycle + Asian resonance.

Risk: The memory sector is highly volatile at elevated levels; if AI sentiment cools, it may pull back quickly.

XOM

Current: Brent crude breaks above $97, geopolitical risks push oil prices higher

Prediction: bullish, 3-day target to maintain strength. Ongoing uncertainty around Iran keeps Brent crude above $97; energy stocks’ cash flow characteristics and inflation-hedge logic are strengthened. Morgan Stanley previously raised its Q4 Brent forecast to $100.

Logic: Oil at 97+ geopolitical risk + inflation hedge.

Risk: If U.S.-Iran negotiations make progress and oil prices fall, XOM may give back gains.

(Ice and Fire Island Research Daily | 2026-09-07)