$ZEC Our all-day short-selling strategy: as long as the drop at this level does not stabilize near 1040, long positions are prohibited. When bears are killing longs, it often makes many people who have made money return overnight to square one! For specific strategy points, click the link to view the daytime article!
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--Bearish
Crypto周期合约研究员
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BearishZEC’s five-cycle resonance! Huge volume breakout at the highs. The main idea is to look bearish on rallies, and consider a small long position on a pullback to key support.
This ZEC move has directly produced a rocket-like rally, with the 24-hour high reaching 1195. The short-term surge is extremely violent, and the weekly, daily, 4-hour, and 1-hour charts have all entered severely overbought territory. RSI has all been pushed above 85-90, a typical parabolic rally.
With all cycles severely overbought, the market may experience a violent pullback at any time. Do not blindly chase highs.
Overall strategy: look bearish on rallies; consider a small long position on a pullback to key support.
Short plan:
Entry range: 1175-1190
Stop loss reference: 1225
Take profit 1: 1110, reduce position on the first move and move stop to breakeven
Take profit 2: 1040, second target
Ultimate target: 995 (24-hour low, the starting point of this round’s volume surge)
Small long on pullback (only buy the dip, do not chase the rise)
Entry range: consider a pullback to support at 1030-1050
Stop loss reference: 985, abandon the long idea if broken below
Take profit 1: 1120
Take profit 2: 1170
A few honest thoughts:
This ZEC rally has been extremely crazy, going straight up without looking back. Many friends see the explosive rise and get fired up, rushing in to chase longs.
But if you look at the cycles, the 15-minute, 1-hour, 4-hour, daily, and weekly RSI are all off the charts. With this level of overbought conditions, once selling pressure appears, the spike-and-retrace pullback can be very brutal. A move of dozens to over a hundred U is just a matter of minutes.
Two practical reminders:
1. Do not be fooled by the explosive move. At high levels, never chase longs with high leverage. Chasing the rise means taking the last seat;
2. Do not go heavy on shorts either. In a strong trend, the market can still continue to push higher by inertia. Be sure to use strict stop losses, cut losses properly, and do not hold onto losing positions;
3. Use small position sizes. Do not go all in. Five-cycle overbought resonance does not mean an immediate collapse; it may continue to grind at high levels for a while.
We are now getting closer to the major macro window of CPI on September 11, and the broader market itself has uncertainty. Altcoin volatility will likely expand further, so risk control must always come first.
Risk reminder: The above is a technical analysis discussion and does not constitute any investment advice. Futures leverage carries high risk. Be sure to set stop losses strictly and control position size.
$ZEC $BTC $ETH #币安合约 #合约交易
This ZEC move has directly produced a rocket-like rally, with the 24-hour high reaching 1195. The short-term surge is extremely violent, and the weekly, daily, 4-hour, and 1-hour charts have all entered severely overbought territory. RSI has all been pushed above 85-90, a typical parabolic rally.
With all cycles severely overbought, the market may experience a violent pullback at any time. Do not blindly chase highs.
Overall strategy: look bearish on rallies; consider a small long position on a pullback to key support.
Short plan:
Entry range: 1175-1190
Stop loss reference: 1225
Take profit 1: 1110, reduce position on the first move and move stop to breakeven
Take profit 2: 1040, second target
Ultimate target: 995 (24-hour low, the starting point of this round’s volume surge)
Small long on pullback (only buy the dip, do not chase the rise)
Entry range: consider a pullback to support at 1030-1050
Stop loss reference: 985, abandon the long idea if broken below
Take profit 1: 1120
Take profit 2: 1170
A few honest thoughts:
This ZEC rally has been extremely crazy, going straight up without looking back. Many friends see the explosive rise and get fired up, rushing in to chase longs.
But if you look at the cycles, the 15-minute, 1-hour, 4-hour, daily, and weekly RSI are all off the charts. With this level of overbought conditions, once selling pressure appears, the spike-and-retrace pullback can be very brutal. A move of dozens to over a hundred U is just a matter of minutes.
Two practical reminders:
1. Do not be fooled by the explosive move. At high levels, never chase longs with high leverage. Chasing the rise means taking the last seat;
2. Do not go heavy on shorts either. In a strong trend, the market can still continue to push higher by inertia. Be sure to use strict stop losses, cut losses properly, and do not hold onto losing positions;
3. Use small position sizes. Do not go all in. Five-cycle overbought resonance does not mean an immediate collapse; it may continue to grind at high levels for a while.
We are now getting closer to the major macro window of CPI on September 11, and the broader market itself has uncertainty. Altcoin volatility will likely expand further, so risk control must always come first.
Risk reminder: The above is a technical analysis discussion and does not constitute any investment advice. Futures leverage carries high risk. Be sure to set stop losses strictly and control position size.
$ZEC $BTC $ETH #币安合约 #合约交易
