⚠️ BTC continues to range around the 80,000 mark, while ETH rises nearly 2% in a day to lead the market — who will break out first?
📊 Market snapshot
BTC price $79,976｜24h +0.45%｜4H range 79,577–80,200
ETH price $2,503｜24h +1.99%｜4H range 2,450–2,524
ETH/BTC rate 0.03129 — ETH continues to strengthen relative to BTC
1️⃣ Wyckoff perspective
BTC is oscillating in a tight range between 79,500 and 80,200, with 4H volume decreasing candle by candle (2187→151), a classic Wyckoff "Cause" stage — supply is exhausted but demand has not yet been confirmed. If it breaks above 80,200 with volume, it will enter an accelerated Markup phase; if it falls below 79,500, it will confirm a failed UTAD in Phase D, with 79,000 as support.
ETH is showing stronger momentum, steadily climbing from 2,460 to 2,524 with price and volume aligned, and is in the middle stage of Markup, with a short-term target of 2,550.
2️⃣ 2B rule assessment
BTC's 4H low of 79,577 briefly broke below the previous low of 79,694 before quickly recovering above 79,800, forming a potential bullish 2B signal — but it needs to close firmly above 80,000 to confirm. If the next 4H close falls below 79,577, the 2B setup fails, with 79,000 as the downside target.
ETH's 2B structure is clearer: support at 2,450 has been tested three times without breaking, and the 2,480-2,510 range continues to see rotation, keeping the bullish structure intact.
3️⃣ Dow Theory
BTC daily chart: 80,200 is the short-term high and 79,500 is the short-term low; both are above the previous swing low of 78,500 — the uptrend remains intact. The market is currently in a secondary reaction, and as long as 79,000 holds, the main bullish impulse structure remains.
ETH daily chart: 2,450>2,380 (previous low), 2,524>2,480 (previous high); both highs and lows are moving up together, confirming a Dow Theory bullish trend.
🛡️ Trading strategy
• BTC: Go long on a volume breakout above 80,000-80,200, stop loss below 79,500; if 79,500 breaks, flip short with target at 79,000
• ETH: Buy the pullback near 2,500 if it holds, stop loss at 2,480, target 2,550-2,600; stand aside if 2,450 breaks
• Risk reminder: Weekend liquidity is thin, volatility may expand, so control position size
#BTC走势分析 #ETH走势分析 #威科夫操盘法 #2B法则 #DowTheory
📊 Market snapshot
BTC price $79,976｜24h +0.45%｜4H range 79,577–80,200
ETH price $2,503｜24h +1.99%｜4H range 2,450–2,524
ETH/BTC rate 0.03129 — ETH continues to strengthen relative to BTC
1️⃣ Wyckoff perspective
BTC is oscillating in a tight range between 79,500 and 80,200, with 4H volume decreasing candle by candle (2187→151), a classic Wyckoff "Cause" stage — supply is exhausted but demand has not yet been confirmed. If it breaks above 80,200 with volume, it will enter an accelerated Markup phase; if it falls below 79,500, it will confirm a failed UTAD in Phase D, with 79,000 as support.
ETH is showing stronger momentum, steadily climbing from 2,460 to 2,524 with price and volume aligned, and is in the middle stage of Markup, with a short-term target of 2,550.
2️⃣ 2B rule assessment
BTC's 4H low of 79,577 briefly broke below the previous low of 79,694 before quickly recovering above 79,800, forming a potential bullish 2B signal — but it needs to close firmly above 80,000 to confirm. If the next 4H close falls below 79,577, the 2B setup fails, with 79,000 as the downside target.
ETH's 2B structure is clearer: support at 2,450 has been tested three times without breaking, and the 2,480-2,510 range continues to see rotation, keeping the bullish structure intact.
3️⃣ Dow Theory
BTC daily chart: 80,200 is the short-term high and 79,500 is the short-term low; both are above the previous swing low of 78,500 — the uptrend remains intact. The market is currently in a secondary reaction, and as long as 79,000 holds, the main bullish impulse structure remains.
ETH daily chart: 2,450>2,380 (previous low), 2,524>2,480 (previous high); both highs and lows are moving up together, confirming a Dow Theory bullish trend.
🛡️ Trading strategy
• BTC: Go long on a volume breakout above 80,000-80,200, stop loss below 79,500; if 79,500 breaks, flip short with target at 79,000
• ETH: Buy the pullback near 2,500 if it holds, stop loss at 2,480, target 2,550-2,600; stand aside if 2,450 breaks
• Risk reminder: Weekend liquidity is thin, volatility may expand, so control position size
#BTC走势分析 #ETH走势分析 #威科夫操盘法 #2B法则 #DowTheory
