The stronger this BTC move gets, the less I want to chase it.
Not because I’m bearish.
But because the easiest mistake the market can make right now is to take:
strong price + ETF inflows
and directly read it as:
a new trend has already been confirmed.
I don’t agree.
For me, true confirmation should be:
after it rises, the capital is still there;
after it pulls back, people are still stepping in.
So now I’d rather wait for three signals:
ETF inflows continue,
stablecoin growth keeps improving,
BTC can still hold the key structure on a pullback.
If all three happen together, I’ll clearly increase the weight I give to that judgment.
If not, I’d rather miss part of the move.
Because what I fear most is not missing out,
but mistaking a strong rebound for a new cycle.
Do you think this is trend confirmation now, or just a strong rebound?
$BTC #Crypto
Not because I’m bearish.
But because the easiest mistake the market can make right now is to take:
strong price + ETF inflows
and directly read it as:
a new trend has already been confirmed.
I don’t agree.
For me, true confirmation should be:
after it rises, the capital is still there;
after it pulls back, people are still stepping in.
So now I’d rather wait for three signals:
ETF inflows continue,
stablecoin growth keeps improving,
BTC can still hold the key structure on a pullback.
If all three happen together, I’ll clearly increase the weight I give to that judgment.
If not, I’d rather miss part of the move.
Because what I fear most is not missing out,
but mistaking a strong rebound for a new cycle.
Do you think this is trend confirmation now, or just a strong rebound?
$BTC #Crypto