Does Bitcoin really never escape the "four-year cycle"? #BTC触及80000美元
2013, 2017, 2021……
At the start of each round of the market, things never seem as clear as they do when looking back later.
When you're really in it, it is always accompanied by doubt:
"Has it risen too much?"
"Is it going to fall back again?"
"This time is different, right?"
What's interesting is—
The story is different each time, but human nature seems never to change.
When you're scared, you don't dare buy; when prices are rising, you don't dare believe; and once it really plays out, you start regretting why you didn't hold on back then.
And a few days ago, the market once again showed clear signs of a new move.
I don't know whether this is the start of a new leg up, and I certainly won't predict where the end is.
But as someone who has gone through several bull and bear cycles, I am becoming more and more convinced of one thing:
Market moves can be predicted wrongly, cycles can be judged wrongly, but never lose your trading system at the most extreme moment of emotion.
If Bitcoin really still follows a "four-year cycle,"
then where exactly are we in this round right now?
Do you think this is the beginning of a new trend, or another false breakout?
Leave your judgment in the comments, and in a few months we'll come back and see who guessed right.
For personal market observation only, not investment advice.
2013, 2017, 2021……
At the start of each round of the market, things never seem as clear as they do when looking back later.
When you're really in it, it is always accompanied by doubt:
"Has it risen too much?"
"Is it going to fall back again?"
"This time is different, right?"
What's interesting is—
The story is different each time, but human nature seems never to change.
When you're scared, you don't dare buy; when prices are rising, you don't dare believe; and once it really plays out, you start regretting why you didn't hold on back then.
And a few days ago, the market once again showed clear signs of a new move.
I don't know whether this is the start of a new leg up, and I certainly won't predict where the end is.
But as someone who has gone through several bull and bear cycles, I am becoming more and more convinced of one thing:
Market moves can be predicted wrongly, cycles can be judged wrongly, but never lose your trading system at the most extreme moment of emotion.
If Bitcoin really still follows a "four-year cycle,"
then where exactly are we in this round right now?
Do you think this is the beginning of a new trend, or another false breakout?
Leave your judgment in the comments, and in a few months we'll come back and see who guessed right.
For personal market observation only, not investment advice.
