🚨 TODAY'S JOBS REPORT JUST HANDED THE FED A REASON TO HIKE.
August payrolls: 162,000 — nearly 3x the 55,000 forecast and 8x July's paltry 21,000. 📈
Private payrolls: 127,000 added vs. 45,000 expected. Blowout.
Unemployment: steady at 4.1%.
U6 (the "real" underemployment rate): improved to 7.7% from 7.9% — more people working AND more people confident enough to start looking again. 👀
Wages, though, are the wildcard:
💰 Monthly growth: 0.3% — exactly as forecast
💰 Yearly growth: cooled to 3.1% from 3.2% — but still hotter than the 3.0% economists wanted
Before this report dropped, September hike odds were basically a coin flip (~50%). Fed Governor Waller said he was leaning toward holding — UNLESS the data came in hot.
Well... it just did. 🔥
A labor market this strong kills the Fed's main excuse to sit on their hands. Hiking is supposed to be risky when jobs are weak. They're not weak. They're roaring.
Next checkpoint: inflation data on Sept 10-11, right before the Fed meets Sept 16.
If CPI comes in hot too, a September hike isn't a "maybe" anymore. It's the base case. 🎯
So — is the Fed about to hike into a market that isn't ready for it? Or is this exactly the soft landing everyone said was impossible? 👇 Drop your call below.
#FederalReserve #JobsReport #RateHike
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August payrolls: 162,000 — nearly 3x the 55,000 forecast and 8x July's paltry 21,000. 📈
Private payrolls: 127,000 added vs. 45,000 expected. Blowout.
Unemployment: steady at 4.1%.
U6 (the "real" underemployment rate): improved to 7.7% from 7.9% — more people working AND more people confident enough to start looking again. 👀
Wages, though, are the wildcard:
💰 Monthly growth: 0.3% — exactly as forecast
💰 Yearly growth: cooled to 3.1% from 3.2% — but still hotter than the 3.0% economists wanted
Before this report dropped, September hike odds were basically a coin flip (~50%). Fed Governor Waller said he was leaning toward holding — UNLESS the data came in hot.
Well... it just did. 🔥
A labor market this strong kills the Fed's main excuse to sit on their hands. Hiking is supposed to be risky when jobs are weak. They're not weak. They're roaring.
Next checkpoint: inflation data on Sept 10-11, right before the Fed meets Sept 16.
If CPI comes in hot too, a September hike isn't a "maybe" anymore. It's the base case. 🎯
So — is the Fed about to hike into a market that isn't ready for it? Or is this exactly the soft landing everyone said was impossible? 👇 Drop your call below.
#FederalReserve #JobsReport #RateHike
$NVDA
$XAU
$BTC
