=== Bad Boy Ge Hotspot Breakdown | 2026.09.04 19:00 ===

[TAG] Crypto

[Hotspot] BTC breaks through $81,000 to set a recent high; shorts liquidated in the past 24 hours exceed $400 million

[Breakdown] On Thursday, Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller signaled that if inflation continues to cool, he supports keeping interest rates unchanged in September. CME FedWatch shows the probability of a September rate hike has sharply dropped from over 63% to around 50%. This expectation revision directly pressured bond yields downward and boosted risk-asset appetite. BTC surged quickly from the $77,000 area, topping out at $81,100. It also lifted ETH above $2,500, while XRP rose by roughly 6%, triggering a concentrated liquidation of shorts across the entire market. On-chain data shows spot trading volume increased significantly (+153%), far outpacing the increase in derivatives/futures volumes (+109%). ETF flows shifted to net inflows, indicating that this rebound is supported by genuine buying pressure rather than being driven purely by leverage.

[Impact] Mildly bullish in the short term, but non-farm payrolls data (Friday) remains the key variable; uncertainty still exists

[Action] The volume-price structure behind this breakout is worth paying close attention to. Key support has shifted up to the $77,000–$78,000 range. If Friday’s non-farm payrolls come in below expectations, the rate-hike probability may fall further, and BTC could test the $85,000 area. Note: The $82,000–$85,000 zone is stacked with heavy sell pressure; after a breakout, if volume contracts, be alert for a pullback. Focus on spot + ETFs, keep futures/derivatives positions controlled, and strictly follow stop-loss rules.

[WARN] The above is a compilation of market information and does not constitute investment advice. Strictly control position size; risk per trade must not exceed 2%
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