$SUI at $0.77: Bottom Accumulation or Dead Cat Bounce?
SUI is sitting in the same zone people once called “already dead.”
Its monthly chart is clear:
Crazy rally in 2024 → ATH ~ $5.37 in early 2025
Long dump from 2025–2026 down to $0.64–$0.70
Now the monthly candle is green—hold above $0.70
The blue box on the chart is the Fibonacci 618.54% extension from the latest low. The technical target is $4.67 if this $0.70 low truly is a cycle bottom. That zone is close to the old ATH. But that’s a scenario if the monthly structure turns around—not a guarantee for this week.
Key levels
Strong support: $0.70 – $0.64 (August low + 52-week low)
Near resistance: $0.80 – $0.85, then $0.95–$1.00 (still below the 200-day EMA ~ $0.97)
Heavy resistance: $1.40 – $2.00 (old supply)
Bullish monthly invalidation: weekly close below $0.64
Price is still below the 200 EMA. That means the medium-term trend hasn’t been confirmed as bullish yet. What you have now is only a relief bounce + possible base.20fab7
Coinlore
Why some people still hold SUI
The ecosystem isn’t standing still even if the price is crushed:
AI agent narrative + testing 6 million TPS
Hashi (Bitcoin finance on Sui)
Gasless stablecoin transfers
RWA: Securitize + Neuberger tokenized fund
Kravata (LATAM stablecoin payments)
Sui Basecamp Oct 7–8 in Singapore (together with Token2049)
This is why SUI hasn’t really “disappeared” from the radar alt.dfa0d2
Coinmarketcap
Risks often overlooked
A string of outages in May 2026 (trust was briefly cracked)
Phantom drop of Sui support on Sep 24, 2026
CTO of Mysten Labs (Sam Blackshear, creator of Move) resigns to Anthropic
Supply is still long: new circ ~41%
Altseason not confirmed; SUI still moving with BTC’s beta
My bias (not a signal)
Short-term: range $0.70–$0.85. Breaking $0.80 with volume = could test $0.95–$1.00
Medium-term: only becomes interesting if there’s a weekly close above $1.00
Long-term (per the Fib on the chart): $4.67 is only valid if $0.64 doesn’t break and BTC doesn’t collapse
Don’t buy just because “Fib 618 to $4.6.” That target only works if the bottom is confirmed. More realistic right now: gradual accumulation around $0.64–$0.75, cut if $0.64 breaks.
NFA. DYOR. $SUI
SUI is sitting in the same zone people once called “already dead.”
Its monthly chart is clear:
Crazy rally in 2024 → ATH ~ $5.37 in early 2025
Long dump from 2025–2026 down to $0.64–$0.70
Now the monthly candle is green—hold above $0.70
The blue box on the chart is the Fibonacci 618.54% extension from the latest low. The technical target is $4.67 if this $0.70 low truly is a cycle bottom. That zone is close to the old ATH. But that’s a scenario if the monthly structure turns around—not a guarantee for this week.
Key levels
Strong support: $0.70 – $0.64 (August low + 52-week low)
Near resistance: $0.80 – $0.85, then $0.95–$1.00 (still below the 200-day EMA ~ $0.97)
Heavy resistance: $1.40 – $2.00 (old supply)
Bullish monthly invalidation: weekly close below $0.64
Price is still below the 200 EMA. That means the medium-term trend hasn’t been confirmed as bullish yet. What you have now is only a relief bounce + possible base.20fab7
Coinlore
Why some people still hold SUI
The ecosystem isn’t standing still even if the price is crushed:
AI agent narrative + testing 6 million TPS
Hashi (Bitcoin finance on Sui)
Gasless stablecoin transfers
RWA: Securitize + Neuberger tokenized fund
Kravata (LATAM stablecoin payments)
Sui Basecamp Oct 7–8 in Singapore (together with Token2049)
This is why SUI hasn’t really “disappeared” from the radar alt.dfa0d2
Coinmarketcap
Risks often overlooked
A string of outages in May 2026 (trust was briefly cracked)
Phantom drop of Sui support on Sep 24, 2026
CTO of Mysten Labs (Sam Blackshear, creator of Move) resigns to Anthropic
Supply is still long: new circ ~41%
Altseason not confirmed; SUI still moving with BTC’s beta
My bias (not a signal)
Short-term: range $0.70–$0.85. Breaking $0.80 with volume = could test $0.95–$1.00
Medium-term: only becomes interesting if there’s a weekly close above $1.00
Long-term (per the Fib on the chart): $4.67 is only valid if $0.64 doesn’t break and BTC doesn’t collapse
Don’t buy just because “Fib 618 to $4.6.” That target only works if the bottom is confirmed. More realistic right now: gradual accumulation around $0.64–$0.75, cut if $0.64 breaks.
NFA. DYOR. $SUI
