Odds of a September Federal Reserve rate hike fell back to a coin flip on Friday, after touching 70% a day earlier and 37% a week before, while Bitcoin (BTC) rallied toward $82,000. According to BeInCrypto, CME Group’s FedWatch tool now shows the September 16 meeting split between holding rates at 3.50%-3.75% and raising them to 3.75%-4.00%, with a second hike not fully priced in until March 2027. The swings tracked oil and bond-yield volatility tied to the Iran conflict.