Let’s review the intraday market direction on the afternoon of September 2:
Currently, BTC is consolidating at the high around $77,354. After a 1H dip into the lows, there are signs of a bounce and stabilization. The daily chart is still holding above the MA20/50/200, maintaining a bullish structure, but the MACD death cross and a cooling RSI indicate that the top-side momentum is fading.
Taking into account the slightly bearish bias on the 4H timeframe, the oversold rebound on 1H, and the BOLL bands tightening to an extremely narrow bandwidth, the market has reached a critical turning point where it could accelerate into a breakdown at any moment or surge sharply upward.
On the macro side, softer ADP and JOLTS data have slightly cooled hawkish expectations, but geopolitically, Trump’s remarks regarding Iran have kept oil prices supported (WTI breaking above 91). Market sentiment remains highly sensitive.
Now the strategy is very clear: don’t blindly chase a long just because $77K is overheated, and don’t short nakedly right before the breakout/breakdown. The real watershed is Friday’s Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) data—wait patiently for direction to be confirmed, then follow on the right side.
#BTC #比特币 #非农 #交易日志 $BTC
Currently, BTC is consolidating at the high around $77,354. After a 1H dip into the lows, there are signs of a bounce and stabilization. The daily chart is still holding above the MA20/50/200, maintaining a bullish structure, but the MACD death cross and a cooling RSI indicate that the top-side momentum is fading.
Taking into account the slightly bearish bias on the 4H timeframe, the oversold rebound on 1H, and the BOLL bands tightening to an extremely narrow bandwidth, the market has reached a critical turning point where it could accelerate into a breakdown at any moment or surge sharply upward.
On the macro side, softer ADP and JOLTS data have slightly cooled hawkish expectations, but geopolitically, Trump’s remarks regarding Iran have kept oil prices supported (WTI breaking above 91). Market sentiment remains highly sensitive.
Now the strategy is very clear: don’t blindly chase a long just because $77K is overheated, and don’t short nakedly right before the breakout/breakdown. The real watershed is Friday’s Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) data—wait patiently for direction to be confirmed, then follow on the right side.
#BTC #比特币 #非农 #交易日志 $BTC
