PRE-NFP: 3 SCENARIOS FOR DAILY GOLD 🥇 + BITCOIN ₿
3 daily scenarios: Gold 🥇 + Bitcoin ₿
NFP: Fri 8:30am ET | Cons. ~+53k (Jul was -23k)
Last labor print before Sept FOMC.
🥇 XAUUSD ~4,341
Pivot: 4,340 | Hold: 4,280 | Reclaim: 4,450
₿ BTC ~76,830
Pivot: 76.8k | Hold: 76.2k | Reclaim: 78.0k
1️⃣ SOFT NFP (miss + cooler wages)
USD fades.
Gold: 4,450 → 4,600
BTC: hold 76.2k, probe 78–80k
2️⃣ HOT NFP (beat + firm wages)
USD bid.
Gold: lose 4,280 → 4,200
BTC: lose 76.2k → 74k
3️⃣ IN-LINE / MIXED
Whip first, then range.
Gold: 4,280–4,450
BTC: 76.2k–78.8k
Wait for the close. Don’t fade the first spike.
Trade the reaction, not the headline.
Invalidation = daily close through the level, not the wick.
️🛒💰$BTC 🥇$XAU
3 daily scenarios: Gold 🥇 + Bitcoin ₿
NFP: Fri 8:30am ET | Cons. ~+53k (Jul was -23k)
Last labor print before Sept FOMC.
🥇 XAUUSD ~4,341
Pivot: 4,340 | Hold: 4,280 | Reclaim: 4,450
₿ BTC ~76,830
Pivot: 76.8k | Hold: 76.2k | Reclaim: 78.0k
1️⃣ SOFT NFP (miss + cooler wages)
USD fades.
Gold: 4,450 → 4,600
BTC: hold 76.2k, probe 78–80k
2️⃣ HOT NFP (beat + firm wages)
USD bid.
Gold: lose 4,280 → 4,200
BTC: lose 76.2k → 74k
3️⃣ IN-LINE / MIXED
Whip first, then range.
Gold: 4,280–4,450
BTC: 76.2k–78.8k
Wait for the close. Don’t fade the first spike.
Trade the reaction, not the headline.
Invalidation = daily close through the level, not the wick.
️🛒💰$BTC 🥇$XAU
