Having gone through seven bullish-and-bear cycles, I’ve seen the roaring crowds of a bull market and endured the long, bleak night of a bear market. I’ve witnessed the myth of overnight wealth, and I’ve also seen countless accounts wiped out. What’s most valuable in the crypto market isn’t how much you can make, but how long you can stay alive. I don’t worship the myth of getting rich overnight, and I’m never carried away by emotions—position sizing and stop-losses always come first. The market is never short of opportunities; once your principal is gone, you’ve lost everything. Only for personal market reflections!$BTC
BTC is currently undergoing a high-level range-bound consolidation, with the big trend not yet completely broken, but the short-term bullish momentum is fading. Resistance above is 78800‑79500. Support below is around 75500—go long there, add longs at 75000. If it breaks 74000, don’t hold!
Brothers, the chat room has been opened—communication will be more convenient from now on!
Tap my profile to enter directly. Keeping up with the pace will be easier going forward!
How to use it is super simple: ① In the search bar, enter 【Chat Room】 to find the entry ② Tap the ➕ icon in the top-right corner and add “Coin Circle Zhang Mengzhu” ③ Enter your Binance ID (for example, mine is: 1076734506) ④ One-click search—adding me is easy, and you can chat anytime, anywhere!
The SanDisk trading plan remains unchanged. We will still wait to short at 1650–1660. If it doesn’t reach that level, patiently wait—do not enter the trade early.
Yesterday we indicated the 4380–3410 range long, and currently we’re holding positions. Continue holding. The first target is 2480—take partial profits there, and then look to the second target!
After a round of rapid rallies, Bitcoin is currently in a high-range consolidation pattern. The market is seeing intensified long-versus-short competition, with clear pressure from above. Near-term bullish momentum has shown some signs of weakening. Price is repeatedly ranging within the 77,200–79,000 zone. Trading volume has contracted somewhat. To open up further upside room, it is necessary to effectively hold the 79,000 level; only then can BTC once again test the strong resistance at 80,000–82,000. As for 77,200, it serves as the short-term lifeline. If it breaks down effectively, it will further amplify the risk of a pullback.
At the macro level, conditions have become the biggest variable. Geopolitical conflicts are pushing oil prices higher, inflation expectations are rising, and market expectations for the U.S. Federal Reserve’s September rate hike have continued to increase. U.S. Treasury yields are moving up as well, which suppresses expectations for easier liquidity—creating significant external pressure on BTC. On the capital side, we need to watch whether spot ETF fund flows can stay positive. This is a key signal for judging whether institutional capital will continue to enter.
At present, the market is in a digestion phase following a big surge. It cannot be simply defined as a top, and it is also not advisable to blindly chase longs. Wait for the order book to provide clear signals of strength or weakness. In a choppy range, wicks/spikes occur frequently—so manage position sizing carefully and keep stop-losses in the top priority. Follow the leader and take control of the next phase of the market!
The big pancake has no market activity—let’s run the copy trading (shanzhai) instead! If you’re going to use shanzhai, I suggest you do it the way I do: use it a bit and then leave!
I’m taking a break; come back later when there’s market action!
The happiest moment in trading isn’t when profits skyrocket on paper, but when you actually take the profit and put it in your pocket. Friends in Changsha turned a profit of 10,000 U into cash—using it to improve their lives and give back to their families. With the principal left in the market to keep competing, knowing how to take profits out to enjoy life—that is the original intention of trading. Market opportunities come often; keeping the gains you’ve earned and being content is what makes you last.
SanDisk belongs to the popular AI storage segment and the fundamentals are strong, but you must not blindly chase the price. The price is highly tied to the per-share storage sector. With the US market closed, the tokenized market indicators have limited reference value, and overnight gaps happen frequently. After a spike, it starts to consolidate and shake out traders. I don’t think we should go long blindly right now—US Treasury yields and rate-hike expectations will also suppress its price action. The specific trading plan is as follows:
1650-1660 short, as long as it breaks down effectively below 1400, 1200 is not far off! $SNDKB #SNDKB静待全平台上市完整数据RWA行情简评
ETH mainly follows Bitcoin, and currently has not broken out into an independent trend. It is clearly influenced by macro liquidity. The specific trading plan is as follows:
Go long on a pullback at 2380-2410. If it breaks 2330, do not hold. Targets: 2480-2530!
Yesterday I said that buying on the pullback blindly is all you need to make money. The uptrend hasn’t changed. What I said about the trend won’t end in just a few days or a week—it will at least last half a month, or even a month, before its logic plays out. As I always say: when it pulls back, keep buying blindly!
Specific trading plan: 77200-77600 continue long, take profit in batches at 79200-80100. If it breaks 76500, don’t hold!
The back-beater is back again, making a little pocket money.
As someone who’s been through it, I’d advise contract trading newcomers: only trade BTC and ETH. The major coins have good liquidity and the market is relatively stable—avoid extreme needle-like spikes in low-cap altcoins. Make sure you control your position size; leverage shouldn’t be too high. Set a stop-loss for every trade, and absolutely no holding on to losing positions or adding to positions against the trend. Only use spare money—don’t fantasize about getting rich overnight with contracts.
8.31 Escalation of the Iran–Israel conflict: Brent crude oil returns to around $90, market expectations for a September U.S. Federal Reserve rate hike rise to 57–60%, and Barclays has raised its rate-hike expectations. U.S. 2-year yields surged significantly. Higher oil prices will increase inflation pressures, dampening expectations of Fed easing, and BTC’s hoped-for improvement in liquidity has suffered a short-term setback. In the near term, BTC is likely to trade sideways with a bearish tilt. Pay close attention to the 80,000–82,000 level; holding above 82,000 alongside ETF inflows and falling Treasury yields would be consistent with a shakeout. If BTC breaks below 77,000–78,000, with bearish factors converging, be cautious of a deeper pullback. A long-term bear market has not been confirmed yet.
Note: This is not a direct negative for BTC. We just need to manage position sizing properly!
$BTC Today BTC 77,000 and 77,500 respectively went long twice to take profits. In the evening, continue going long in the 77,200–77,600 range. Don’t take it if it breaks below 76,500. As long as it doesn’t break the level, just go long blindly and that’s it. Take partial profits in batches above 78,800–80,000!