๐ Bitcoin Macro Outlook
On the macro timeframe, I donโt believe Bitcoin is in a bear market yet.
My current view is that we are likely in the late stages of the current bull cycle, with one final major rally potentially still ahead before the broader market enters an extreme bearish phase.
The structure suggests that Bitcoin could still have room for a final expansion toward new highs before the cycle ultimately tops.
If this cycle follows the historical pattern, the next major bear market could bring a 75โ85% drawdown from the cycle peak.
My thesis:
๐ข Current phase โ Late-stage bull market
๐ Next phase โ Final major rally / blow-off top#
๐ด Following phase โ Major bear market
๐ Potential drawdown โ -75% to -85% from the cycle top
This is a macro-cycle thesis, not a short-term price prediction.
The key is to watch how Bitcoin reacts and major resistance, market structure, and the eventual cycle-top signals.
Not financial advice. Just my macro perspective
#BTC
#1
#Binance
On the macro timeframe, I donโt believe Bitcoin is in a bear market yet.
My current view is that we are likely in the late stages of the current bull cycle, with one final major rally potentially still ahead before the broader market enters an extreme bearish phase.
The structure suggests that Bitcoin could still have room for a final expansion toward new highs before the cycle ultimately tops.
If this cycle follows the historical pattern, the next major bear market could bring a 75โ85% drawdown from the cycle peak.
My thesis:
๐ข Current phase โ Late-stage bull market
๐ Next phase โ Final major rally / blow-off top#
๐ด Following phase โ Major bear market
๐ Potential drawdown โ -75% to -85% from the cycle top
This is a macro-cycle thesis, not a short-term price prediction.
The key is to watch how Bitcoin reacts and major resistance, market structure, and the eventual cycle-top signals.
Not financial advice. Just my macro perspective
#BTC
#1
#Binance
