Fy_ahan

What is this? Did the organization run off? $AAVE

$HYPE pressure level is at 85‑86.8. Only if the price breaks out and holds above 86.8 will this uptrend be reactivated; if it can’t push through, it’s likely to pull back.
Support is at 82, with strong support between 79‑80. If it breaks below 82 and the 4-hour close can’t hold firm, it will most likely retest the 75‑76 zone.
Place long orders at 79.8‑80.5.

Take profit #1 at 85.2‑85.8.
Take profit #2 between 86.6‑86.8, at the prior high resistance zone.
Stop loss: if it breaks below, exit at 78.2.

Trade entry logic: when price retraces into the lower end of the high-range consolidation, if it doesn’t break, keep the long position. Once support at 78 breaks, the current high-range consolidation structure is considered broken.

$BTC first pressure 79500‑80200. If it doesn’t break out with volume, don’t chase it in the short term;
support is at 76800 below—if this level can’t hold, it will trigger a deeper pullback.
This is the mid-session rest after an upward move, not a reversal and not the starting point of a new rally.

$CAP
Mostly favorable, but this is not a place to blindly chase.

If you want to keep following the trend, it’s better to range trade and churn turnover in the 0.068–0.069 area, then make a push once you’ve accumulated enough. If it goes straight up, and the volume can’t keep up, it may turn into a fake breakout.

If it breaks below 0.067, then the short-term long structure will weaken, and the mindset should flip to bearish.

Brother Sun's net worth of several hundred billions,
spent thirty million to sleep his dream, and still went out and partied for dozens of days,
and after messing around, got himself on a national headline,
and even for free let people all across the country know there's someone like this,
so his wealth, his reputation, and even advertising fees were all waived—
and after doing something like this, the money could even be recovered,
this isn't called top-tier marketing, then what is?
Sun Xue, as expected, you're awesome.$TRX
$ETH

What is this?
$BABY —the project owner with the most stature and vision. I’m not even on the list for ranking, yet they still pay me😭😭

Last year they were shouting too, and it kept going from bull to bear—dunno how many people got blown up.

The market-maker goes crazy to lure sell orders at lows, making big profits by going long at lower prices$BTR

It seems that recently only a few people are making money; even Liangxi has started scamming people into being bag holders with “tu gou” scams.$PUMP $BNB

$BTR just now you said you couldn't reach 0.1 and everyone fell silent

$UNITREE Just watch; wxx will become the next one, xjy

When ETH was around 1800, everyone was saying, “ETH is really useless, total trash…” Now it’s at 2500 and people are still saying, “It should come down, why did it go up so high…” What I’m most confused about now is Vitalik, “Why are people chasing the price even when it’s 2500? Why isn’t anyone selling?”

Here is the exact reason Bitcoin has just surged:
COINBASE bought 6,139 BTC
BINANCE bought 4,061 BTC
An insider bought 4,036 BTC
KRAKEN bought 3,329 BTC
OKX bought 1,621 BTC
PHEMEX bought 1,300 BTC
WINTERMUTE bought 1,230 BTC
Arkham’s view of exchange-wallet inflows does not mean the exchange is using its own funds to buy BTC in the market. A large portion of it is simply users depositing BTC into the platform—users’ BTC has just been moved to a different storage address, not an increase in actual buying demand.

Will $btc eat this 🐳?

Fat pig is getting horny again

$BTC also hit the 200-day moving average again.

The script I had in mind before was thrown off by this surge. The price directly tapped 69.7K, right before the FOMC meeting.

Looking back at history, the last two times it touched the MA200, there was a 79-day gap before it came back again. This line is essentially the watershed between bulls and bears.

Now it boils down to one thing: it’s not about whether it can just touch it—you need to see whether the close can genuinely stand above it.
If it’s a real breakout, resistance turns into support. If it only taps it and falls back, then it’s still a bearish suppression level.

The position of small goals is my dream$BTC

This is really satisfying—day after day, you only need to open and run hedging orders, and after a week you can make a few hundred USD. In the early days it relied on rebates, and now it’s all about getting rich in the square $BTW

The reason for this needle$M

Is the U.S. stock market priced at a severe premium right now?

Many people use valuation data to claim there is a massive bubble in U.S. stocks. My view is the opposite: it’s definitely expensive, but not a full-blown bubble.

The Shiller CAPE is around 41. Historically, only the 2000 internet-bubble period was higher than today; the long-term mean is just 17.8. The Buffett indicator has broken 210%. Looking only at these two long-cycle benchmarks, the market is already in the extreme historical range.

But if you look at forward dynamic PE, the S&P 500 is roughly at 23x, and the Nasdaq 100 around 27x. This round of elevated premiums isn’t driven purely by sentiment. Over several consecutive quarters, the leading AI companies have delivered earnings. Institutional investors have raised their expected Nasdaq earnings growth for this year to nearly 38%, and the market is willing to pay for that certainty in growth.

The most important situation right now is that the rally is fractured.

The index’s high valuation is basically propped up by just six or seven top technology stock weightings. Many mid- and small-cap companies and traditional sectors are not priced excessively—this is a case where the index is expensive, but conditions inside it are uneven.

There’s also an unusual phenomenon in front of us: long-term bond yields have stayed at a high level. In theory, that should suppress the valuations of growth stocks. Yet this time, we’ve seen a coexistence of high interest rates and high valuations. This kind of setup is inherently fragile. As soon as AI earnings fail to meet expectations, or if interest rates rise again, the weighted stocks will quickly face valuation compression.

Here’s an easy pitfall: seeing valuations that look high and going all-in on short positions. Recall the passage in the book about the Great Short. After a bubble becomes expensive, it can remain so for a long time. It’s not hard to tell whether valuations are expensive. The hard part is enduring the market’s continued frenzy.

$NVDA.US