$龙虾 is way too wild—like a bulldozer. It’s been rising for months, and it’s still going berserk. The Air Force must be in a sorry state. The other side has definitely gotten to eat the meat.

But I don’t really touch copycats. Many of those are run by a big player. Some of the upward moves are deliberately meant to lure people to chase. Once you’ve chased, they dump the order. It’s like a reservoir—once it has enough “chives” in it, once the hype dies down, once fewer people chase higher prices, once it can’t be pushed anymore, when the sentiment is gone—that’s when the high-level dumping starts.

If more people go short, it moves up; if more people go long, it gets dumped. When long and short are balanced, it just goes sideways. There are no technical patterns or rules—only sudden surges or sudden crashes.

The chips are all in other people’s hands, like lambs waiting to be slaughtered. You don’t know when the butcher’s knife will turn toward you. #特朗普达成委内瑞拉17油田开发协议