2026-08-30 A few observations on this one
There’s been a lot going on in the U.S. stock market this week—let’s go through a few points in time order.
1. If the dollar weakens in this round, BTC usually follows up for 1–3 days; in terms of timing, the crypto market should be ready before the market opens.
2. If the Non-Farm Payrolls report shows job additions below 150,000, it will reinforce rate-cut expectations; above 200,000, the market will feel uneasy again.
3. This week marks the start of the tech earnings season. TSLA/GOOG lead off first. The market is mainly watching whether AI capex is truly being implemented.
The pace in the U.S. stock market directly affects the sentiment at the crypto market open. Crypto typically lags U.S. stocks by about 4–8 hours. The key is the volume/energy on the very first 1h K-line after the open.
Simple follow-through for the crypto side: BTC 78291 (+1.06%), ETH 2461. The correlation looks a bit weak—crypto is still waiting for the U.S. market to send signals.
If it breaks through a key level, you can try a small position; place a stop-loss below the structure level.
Do you think this one can get through?
#美股 #BTC # Trading Observations
For personal observation only and does not constitute investment advice.
There’s been a lot going on in the U.S. stock market this week—let’s go through a few points in time order.
1. If the dollar weakens in this round, BTC usually follows up for 1–3 days; in terms of timing, the crypto market should be ready before the market opens.
2. If the Non-Farm Payrolls report shows job additions below 150,000, it will reinforce rate-cut expectations; above 200,000, the market will feel uneasy again.
3. This week marks the start of the tech earnings season. TSLA/GOOG lead off first. The market is mainly watching whether AI capex is truly being implemented.
The pace in the U.S. stock market directly affects the sentiment at the crypto market open. Crypto typically lags U.S. stocks by about 4–8 hours. The key is the volume/energy on the very first 1h K-line after the open.
Simple follow-through for the crypto side: BTC 78291 (+1.06%), ETH 2461. The correlation looks a bit weak—crypto is still waiting for the U.S. market to send signals.
If it breaks through a key level, you can try a small position; place a stop-loss below the structure level.
Do you think this one can get through?
#美股 #BTC # Trading Observations
For personal observation only and does not constitute investment advice.