📢 Bloomberg Chief Economist: Next week’s Nonfarm Payrolls data may be weak, and the probability of Fed rate hikes may decline
Hua Jian Kong Quick News: On August 29, Bloomberg Chief Economist Anna Wong said in an analysis that the upcoming U.S. nonfarm payrolls report next week carries risks of weakening, and there is even a possibility of recording negative employment growth. This data will directly influence the Fed’s subsequent monetary policy stance.
She noted that, looking back at the policy history of the modern Federal Reserve, there has not been an example of initiating rate hikes in a backdrop of consecutive two periods of negative nonfarm employment growth. If employment continues to cool, market expectations for the Fed to tighten monetary policy would likely fall noticeably.
Employment is the key benchmark the Fed uses to weigh interest rates. Weak nonfarm data may dampen expectations for U.S. Treasuries and a stronger U.S. dollar, indirectly providing sentiment support for risk assets. However, it’s also important to remember that inflation data remains an important constraint; it does not necessarily mean a shift toward easing. The market still needs to wait for the data to be released and validated.#美联储9月加息概率升至57%
⚠️ Information sharing only and does not constitute investment advice.
In a bear market, everyone likes to predict the lowest price for this round, $BTC . Let me take a shot at it too! What do you think the bottom will be? Feel free to drop your thoughts in the comments! Personally, I predict the extreme bottom for this round at 44000U📉 Three core points:
1. Technical Cycle: The high was 126,000, and a 65% golden retracement perfectly corresponds to the 44,000 range;
2. Miner Cost Hard Support⛏️: The shutdown price for mainstream S23 water-cooled miners is 44,000. This is the new generation computing power's bottom line; if it drops below this, many will shut down, leading to massive selling pressure; the older S21 miners at 69,000-74,000 will reduce output in advance to cushion the drop;
3. Capital Flow: The spot ETF continues to provide a floor, making it hard to replicate the deep crashes of previous years. After the panic selling clears in Q4, we may see a bottom⏳
This prediction is based solely on cycles and mining costs, and there could be black swan events in the market. This does not constitute investment advice; invest your spare change to maintain a calm mindset✨ Once we hit a price you consider suitable, you can start to accumulate! Gradually increase your position; if you keep waiting for the absolute lowest price, you might miss out on this round of opportunities!
⚠️ Crypto investments carry extremely high risks, so enter the market with caution.
📢 Bloomberg Chief Economist: Next week’s Nonfarm Payrolls data may be weak, and the probability of Fed rate hikes may decline
Hua Jian Kong Quick News: On August 29, Bloomberg Chief Economist Anna Wong said in an analysis that the upcoming U.S. nonfarm payrolls report next week carries risks of weakening, and there is even a possibility of recording negative employment growth. This data will directly influence the Fed’s subsequent monetary policy stance.
She noted that, looking back at the policy history of the modern Federal Reserve, there has not been an example of initiating rate hikes in a backdrop of consecutive two periods of negative nonfarm employment growth. If employment continues to cool, market expectations for the Fed to tighten monetary policy would likely fall noticeably.
Employment is the key benchmark the Fed uses to weigh interest rates. Weak nonfarm data may dampen expectations for U.S. Treasuries and a stronger U.S. dollar, indirectly providing sentiment support for risk assets. However, it’s also important to remember that inflation data remains an important constraint; it does not necessarily mean a shift toward easing. The market still needs to wait for the data to be released and validated.#美联储9月加息概率升至57%
⚠️ Information sharing only and does not constitute investment advice.
$BTC $ETH Done, done, BTC. A massive drop— the whole market is dyed red. Let’s first talk about why it fell: it’s all because of Wash! Last night, at the international central bank meeting, he gave an aggressive speech, saying that current inflation is too high and hinting at the possibility of rate hikes. Then—before you know it— the crypto market and U.S. stocks both dove together, down 5% or more.
So the question is: can you buy the dip? 🔥🔥🔥
Honestly, when a sudden crash hits, people’s minds are the easiest to get thrown off. ETH follows the big coin down as well, moving even more violently than Bitcoin. Many friends holding perpetual contracts got liquidated and kicked out overnight. A lot of people see it falling a lot and rush in to buy the dip, thinking they just found a huge bargain—only to buy in halfway down, and end up buying more while still trapped. 🔥🔥🔥
Don’t assume the bull market is completely over just because it drops. And don’t blindly rush in just because it’s falling—be careful about catching the falling knife. Right now, panic sentiment is in control, and leveraged positions are still getting liquidated one after another. It’s very likely the price could keep probing lower, and “the bottom” isn’t something we can guess. 🔥🔥🔥
If you’re holding spot, don’t be blindly scared into cutting for a loss just because the screen looks ugly. If you’re trading contracts, you must reduce leverage. Set a stop-loss—definitely—and don’t stubbornly hold on to a losing position. #日元跌破160创一个月新低
Never go all-in on “buying the dip.” You can wait for the market to stabilize and for signals of a potential reversal to show up before considering it. In crypto, big sell-offs are never short on opportunities. Preserving your principal and staying alive is far more important than grabbing a little bounce. #美国短期国债收益率上涨 #美联储9月加息概率升至57% #沃什称通胀是美联储首要关注
Trump Coin official denies launching any digital tokens, saying related reports are completely untrue, and attributes them to malicious third parties. After a tweet containing a contract address was deleted, the market value of the meme coin GOLD briefly reached $66 million. The team is working with relevant authorities to launch an investigation.
📢 The biggest MeMe scam today! Be careful when entering high—go for meme coins at your own risk!
On August 29, according to monitoring by EmberCN, the Trump Digital Gold (GOLD) scam team sold all of its held GOLD tokens at around 2:00 PM today, totaling approximately 824.54 million tokens, accounting for 82.454% of the total token supply. The team reportedly profited about 9,784.6 SOL (about $1.01 million) in total. It is said that GOLD was created on Solana today at 7:38. Through token allocations and buying after the token launched, the related addresses controlled more than 82% of the tokens. Around 9:00, an account for merchandise partnerships around Trump, @realtrumpcoins1, posted a tweet containing the GOLD contract address, and the token market value briefly surged to $66 million. Around 11:48, the tweet was deleted #SOL本周上涨20%
Analyze the profile pictures of @CZ and #孙割 to see their personality traits! CZ uses a simple vintage-style black-and-white photo as his profile picture, indicating that the owner’s emotions are reserved, with rationality outweighing sentiment. He stays calm about noise, has a strong sense of distance, pursues aesthetics, and prefers a high-end, minimalist vibe! As for #孙割 , he uses his as the cover of Forbes as his profile picture! Such a person has a strong sense of goals, is realistic and pragmatic, believes in speaking with实力, and repeatedly emphasizes this coverage. He over-relies on external accolades to prove himself, fears that others will overlook his achievements, and internally needs to continuously receive external recognition!
6000-character long article summarized into nine pictures! Big Brother Sun has such a huge news coming out, why hasn’t $TRX caused much of a stir yet? #波场主网激活TVM布拉格大阪兼容
📢 U.S. California “meme coin bill” AB2409 passes both houses of the state legislature and awaits the governor’s signature
On August 28, California’s “meme coin” regulatory bill AB 2409 passed the California Assembly and Senate by vote. It has now been submitted to the Governor’s Office and is awaiting signature. The bill would prohibit California public officials and government employees from issuing meme coins, and would prohibit digital asset service providers, effective January 1, 2027, from offering to California residents transaction services for meme coins issued or co-launched by federal officials or state and local public officials. If signed by the governor, AB 2409 will become one of the first state-level regulations in the United States to limit activities related to the issuance of meme coins by political figures.
📢 Opinion: The US SEC is considering restarting public token financing, but ICO market demand has clearly weakened Huajian Empty Express|Bloomberg news on Aug 28 A new SEC proposal would allow crypto projects to be exempt from full registration for publicly issuing tokens to U.S. investors: for startups, up to $5 million in funding over 4 years; for large projects, a 12-month cap of $75 million. The new rules establish a safe harbor, and once the project is completed, the tokens may be detached from their status as securities.
Compared with the brutal ICO era of 2017, this time there is mandatory disclosure attached, so compliance costs are high. Today, market funds are more inclined toward BTC, major coins, and derivatives, and the hype around newly issued tokens is far cooler than back then. In the medium-to-long term, this is a positive narrative for the industry, but since it’s still only a proposal and not yet implemented, it’s unlikely that the ICO bull market of those years can be replicated in the short term. New projects still carry extremely high risk. #比特币升破8万美元创三月新高
⚠️ Information sharing only; not investment advice#
Jing Tian’s taste in men is really not good! First there was a former world champion, and now it’s another high-powered person known for bumping into things and creating hype! $TRX
📢The Solana double-burn deflation proposal has reached the legally required quorum for voting; participation rate is 33.84% BlockBeats report: On August 27, according to data monitored from SolanaFloor, with 26 hours remaining before the voting deadline, Solana’s “double-burn” proposal has met the legal voting threshold. The current overall voter participation rate is 33.84%, with the approval vote share at 25%. If the proposal is successfully implemented, the inflation rate of $SOL will be reduced to half of the original level, and the deflation intensity will increase to 30%. Institutional estimates show that over the next six years, the circulating supply issuance of SOL will decrease by approximately 18.9 million coins, corresponding to a reduction in market value of about $1.47 billion. The resulting token supply contraction may help improve the market’s supply-demand structure, providing fundamental support for the coin price. Going forward, it is necessary to continue monitoring the final voting results. ⚠️This information is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice.
📢 US stock crypto-related concept stocks fall across the board, ABTC plunges 8.66% HuaJianKong Quick News: On August 27, US-listed crypto-related stocks collectively pulled back. $MSTR fell 3.52%, $COIN fell 3.23%, and $ABTC.US saw a drop of 8.66%. With global risk-aversion sentiment intensifying, institutional funds voluntarily reduced their risk exposure. The crypto sector became a direction of capital outflows, and traditional markets showed a clear cooling in their preference for risk assets. (😟 Slight negative) Impact analysis: US crypto stocks are like sentiment-leading indicators for the coin world. When the whole sector falls together, it suggests some institutions are beginning to rebalance and exit. This pessimistic sentiment can spread to the crypto spot market, easily compressing the liquidity premium of assets and causing coin prices to weaken in tandem.
Practical reference: A sharp drop in concept stocks is a sentiment warning signal, not necessarily an immediate crash. In the short term, it’s not advisable to blindly bottom-fish. You can tighten positions appropriately and set stop-losses to control overall exposure; stay on the sidelines and wait for the market sentiment to stabilize before reassessing opportunities. Key to watch next is whether Bitcoin can hold key support and how US Treasury yields fluctuate.
⚠️ This is only a compilation of market information and does not constitute investment advice. Crypto markets are highly volatile—make sure to manage risk properly.
📢 Oil prices keep climbing; Russia plans to intensify strikes on Ukraine; peace talks enter a dead end Huajian Air Express News: On August 27, the situation between Russia and Ukraine deteriorated rapidly. Russia sent signals indicating that the existing peace-talk route has effectively broken down. Plans are in place to upgrade military operations, increasing the risk of a widening conflict being priced in by the market. Brent crude is holding above $88 per barrel, while WTI crude remains steady above $83 per barrel. The geopolitical risk premium has risen rapidly. (😟 bearish)
Oil market outlook: The current market is driven by geopolitical sentiment rather than fundamentals of supply and demand. In the short term, Brent at $88–90 is a strong resistance zone. If the conflict does not materially expand, it is likely that “good news” will be cashed in and prices may pull back. If military actions are upgraded, oil prices may test levels above $92. Key support below is Brent at $85; once that level is broken, this round of geopolitical-driven upside is likely to end. $CL
Higher oil prices will boost the stickiness of inflation in Europe and the U.S., weigh on expectations for rate cuts by the Fed, and make U.S. Treasury yields more likely to rise, tightening liquidity for risk assets such as stocks and crypto and amplifying volatility. From a trading perspective, focus on Russia–Ukraine’s real-world actions and oil’s key price levels. For hedging, gold may be a safer avenue; risk assets should not be chased higher.
⚠️ Information summary only; not investment advice. Geopolitical markets can reverse quickly—strictly control position size.
📢 The U.S. substantially escalates financial pressure on Iran, officially launching the “Economic Isolation Campaign”—digital assets are included in the secondary sanctions list🔥
U.S. Treasury Secretary Bessent publicly announced a new round of intensified sanctions against Iran, placing five key industries—digital assets, gold, energy, metals, and shipping—into the secondary sanctions lineup. This means any institution or platform that has business ties related to Iran faces the risk of being kicked out of the U.S. dollar settlement system, further raising compliance thresholds for the crypto industry. At the same time, there is new information released: the U.S. Treasury bond repo program has been confirmed to take effect on September 9.
Meanwhile, external developments are also brewing with undercurrents. In response to the U.S. trade terms, Canada has sent signals of retaliatory tariffs. With geopolitical tensions layered on top of trade frictions, multiple uncertainties are simmering at the same time. (😟 largely negative)
Impact analysis: With sanctions expanding to technologies and projects related to digital assets, institutions will be forced to de-leverage through compliance measures; some related assets may face passive sell-off pressure. Ongoing geopolitical tension in the Middle East is intensifying, and market risk-avoidance sentiment is rising. Overall conditions will suppress the valuations of risk assets such as stocks and cryptocurrencies, and volatility will increase significantly.
Potential opportunity directions: Under the logic of risk aversion, you may focus on gold-related sectors; In an environment where market volatility is worsening, it may also be appropriate to pay attention to hedging instruments to hedge against downside risks in a portfolio.$XAUT
⚠️ This is only market information for reference and does not constitute any investment advice. Geopolitical conditions can change rapidly—please manage position sizing carefully.