#美联储9月加息概率升至57%
👉 加息概率 57%，进群看利率对币圈的影响
The probability of the Federal Reserve raising rates in September rises to 57%, and the market mood flipped overnight.
Last week, traders were rushing to position for rate cuts; this week, they’ve removed most of the “rate cut” from pricing. U.S. 2-year Treasury yields jumped, the U.S. dollar strengthened, and risk assets came under pressure across the board—Volchek’s hawkish remarks are being re-priced by the market with real money.
The number 57% itself isn’t important. What matters is the direction: the easing pendulum has started to swing back.
For crypto, rate expectations are the switch for liquidity—every time the switch moves, high-valued assets tremble. Before the data hits, all expectations are just temporary residence permits. What do you think about this level?
👉 加息概率 57%，进群看利率对币圈的影响
The probability of the Federal Reserve raising rates in September rises to 57%, and the market mood flipped overnight.
Last week, traders were rushing to position for rate cuts; this week, they’ve removed most of the “rate cut” from pricing. U.S. 2-year Treasury yields jumped, the U.S. dollar strengthened, and risk assets came under pressure across the board—Volchek’s hawkish remarks are being re-priced by the market with real money.
The number 57% itself isn’t important. What matters is the direction: the easing pendulum has started to swing back.
For crypto, rate expectations are the switch for liquidity—every time the switch moves, high-valued assets tremble. Before the data hits, all expectations are just temporary residence permits. What do you think about this level?
