Little Chives🥦 research report📔 Historical price and future spot allocation analysis #BTC The past few bull and bear cycles have been very clear: 2017 bull market peak: about $19,665 2021 bull market peak: about $69,044 2025 historical high: about $126,080 Currently around $80,000 📈 Bull market makes new highs → 📉 sharp correction → 😱 market panic → 🐂 next bull market
🚩Price strategy Above $82K⚠️ Do not chase $76K~$72K🟢 First batch $65K~$62K🟢 Second batch $58K~$55K🔥 Strong allocation Historically, bear market drawdowns have reached 70%~80% or more, so the best buying opportunity is usually not when a new high is broken, but after a sharp pullback with staged entries. 👉BTC is best suited for long-term holding; it is not recommended to sell everything at once.
#ETH 2017 peak: about $880 2018 peak: about $1,432 2021 peak: about $4,891 2025 ATH: about $4,946 Currently around $2,450, roughly cut in half from the historical high.
🚩Price strategy Above $2,600⚠️ Do not chase $2,400~$2,200🟢 First batch $2,000~$1,800🟢 Second batch $1,600~$1,500🔥 Strong allocation
👉 If investing in long-term spot positions, ETH currently has a better risk-reward ratio than BTC at high levels.
#SOL is one of the most extreme in historical volatility among the four. Important history: 2020 low: about $0.5 2021 high: about $260 2022 bear market low: about $8~10 2025 ATH: about $293 Currently around $100~105 #SOL has drawn down about 65% from ATH.
🚩Price strategy Above $110 ⚠️ Do not chase $100~$90🟢 First batch $80~$70 🟢 Second batch $60~$50 🔥 Strong allocation
👉 Suitable for allocation, but do not overweight beyond BTC and ETH.
#ZEC focuses on: 🔐 Privacy Coin (private transactions) using zero-knowledge proof technology. Its historical price has been extremely volatile: When it first launched in 2016, it showed extreme prices; recently ZEC has risen sharply and even briefly broke above $1,000 Recently there has been: sharp rise → short squeeze liquidation → accelerated rise, which is the most dangerous pattern. Currently near the $1,000 price area, so direct FOMO is not recommended.
🚩Price strategy $900~1000❌ Do not chase $800~$700 small observation position $650~$550 first batch $400~$300 second batch Below $200 high-risk value zone
⚠️ It is not recommended to expect ZEC to definitely return to its early ATH, because the extreme prices from the initial 2016 launch are not suitable as a normal valuation benchmark.
Notes on Leek Broccoli Podium Predictions 📔 $ZEC 📊 Probability of long (multiple positions): 55% | Probability of short (empty positions): 45%
Levels for entering longs/shorts, take-profit/stop-loss, and probability allocation
📈 Long positions (trend-following breakout / pullback entry) Analysis: In a large-cycle bull market, buying on dips in line with the trend tends to have a higher win rate, but avoid blindly chasing after price has already reached extremely high levels. Best entry point: If the price experiences a deeper pullback on a larger scale, watch for weekly-support level support or the key daily pullback area in the 850–880 range. Stop-loss point: Below 810 (if it breaks the 24-hour low and key support, the long-side structure is damaged). Take-profit point: First target 980; after a breakout, you can look toward 1,100–1,200.
📉 Short positions (topping on the left side from extreme overbought) Analysis: Because the monthly RSI is too high and the rally has been extremely large, there is always a risk of “profit-taking” pin-pricks in the short term; it’s suitable to lightly try counter-trend left-side trading. Best entry point: Scale in short positions in batches within the prior high resistance zone 975–990. Stop-loss point: Above 1,010 (if it breaks above the 1,000 level and holds, shorts must strictly stop-loss). Take-profit point: 900 and 855.
Trading advice: In a rapid large-cycle rally, short positions are high-risk counter-trend trades. If you want to participate, it’s recommended to significantly reduce leverage; more conservative traders should patiently wait for the price to pull back to support and confirm before seeking long opportunities.
The above is purely my opinion for reference only; it does not represent a definitive indicator. Before investing, you need to manage money cautiously.
Research Report on <小韮菜🥦> 📔 Virtual currency 💰 (in a broad sense, usually refers to cryptocurrency) is a medium of exchange that has no physical form and exists purely in the digital world. It ensures transaction security and accurate record-keeping through cryptographic principles and blockchain technology. The key points are organized for you below:
🚩 Core Features 🥇 Decentralization: Most cryptocurrencies do not rely on a central bank or government to issue them; instead, they are jointly maintained by a distributed network of computers (nodes). 🥈 Public transparency and resistance to tampering: All transaction records are stored in a publicly accessible, distributed ledger called the “blockchain,” and once written, they are very difficult to change unilaterally. 🥉 Supply cap (most cases): For example, Bitcoin has a maximum total supply (21 million), so it has a certain degree of scarcity.
🚩 Common Types 🥇 #BTC : The pioneer of cryptocurrencies, often regarded as digital gold, with the largest market value and influence. 🥈 #ETH : The native token of the Ethereum blockchain. It supports “smart contracts” and can run various decentralized applications. 🥉 Stablecoins (#USDT , #USDC ): Their value is typically pegged to legal tender such as the US dollar, so they tend to have lower volatility and serve as important risk-hedging and transaction tools in the crypto community.
🚩 Beginner Onboarding Channels 🥇 Exchanges: Buying virtual currency usually happens through cryptocurrency exchanges. 🥈 Digital wallets: After purchase, your assets can be kept in custody by the exchange, or transferred to a safer personal crypto wallet for you to manage yourself.
🚩 Main Risks 🥇 High volatility: Prices are easily affected by market sentiment, policy regulation, or news, and can experience sharp rises or falls in a short period. 🥈 Cybersecurity and fraud risks: There are phishing websites, fake exchanges, and investment scams that promise guaranteed profits. Keeping your account credentials and private keys safe is crucial.
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