šØ Wipe out $470 million in one sentence! Waller turns hawkish, 96,000 people get liquidated at dawnāare you still daring to go all-in over the weekend?
Federal Reserve Chair Waller, 100 days in office, makes his Jackson Hole debutāflips the table
His exact words are basically three lines
āInflation remains too high.ā āThe Fedās primary focus should be on prices.ā āOtherwise, we still have work to do.ā
In plain language: donāt expect rate cutsārate hikes are already on the table.
The data is right here: PCE year-over-year at 3.7%, annualized 4.1% over the last 6 monthsānearly double the 2% target; out of 199 subcomponents, 54% saw gains of more than 3%; inflation has been above target for 65 straight months.
But whatās truly frightening is the market reaction: the probability of a September rate hike jumped from 35% straight to 60%; the 2-year U.S. Treasury yield surged by more than 10 basis points in a single day, hitting a one-month high; gold plunged nearly 3% late at night, breaking below $4,500; Bitcoin fell below 80,000, dumping as low as around 76,845; Ethereum lost the 2,500 level. In the past 24 hours, 96,839 people were liquidated across the whole market, with total losses of $474 million. The bears swungālongs were wiped out in an instant.
Why is one speech so brutal?
First, Waller said the financial conditions are ānot really that restrictiveāāthe closest heās come since taking office to effectively admitting that a rate hike might be possible. Even former Fed Vice Chair Clarida said that if necessary, heās already prepared for a hike.
Second, at the July rate decision, three committee members argued for an immediate rate hikeāpatience inside the FOMC has a limited shelf life.
Third, donāt forget the bigger backdrop: over the past few weeks, Bitcoin has surged from 62,000 to 80,000. The faster it climbs, the more leverage gets stackedāso the washout hurts more.
But donāt panic yet. Spot Bitcoin ETFs have recorded net inflows for 9 straight days; in August they pulled in over $3 billion. BlackRockās IBIT bought a net $278 million on the day when prices were fallingāwhile retail traders got liquidated while the market was dropping.
My view: the 81,000ā82,500 range has repeatedly capped breakouts and failed. In the short term, if it doesnāt reclaim that area, rebounds are opportunities to trim your position. The key support zone is 75,000ā70,000. Before the September 15ā16 FOMC meeting, donāt bet on directionāmanage leverage first.
The Fed sneezes, and the crypto market has to do CPRāthis time it isnāt just a sneeze. Itās going straight onto a ventilator.
Do you think there really will be a rate hike in September?š
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Federal Reserve Chair Waller, 100 days in office, makes his Jackson Hole debutāflips the table
His exact words are basically three lines
āInflation remains too high.ā āThe Fedās primary focus should be on prices.ā āOtherwise, we still have work to do.ā
In plain language: donāt expect rate cutsārate hikes are already on the table.
The data is right here: PCE year-over-year at 3.7%, annualized 4.1% over the last 6 monthsānearly double the 2% target; out of 199 subcomponents, 54% saw gains of more than 3%; inflation has been above target for 65 straight months.
But whatās truly frightening is the market reaction: the probability of a September rate hike jumped from 35% straight to 60%; the 2-year U.S. Treasury yield surged by more than 10 basis points in a single day, hitting a one-month high; gold plunged nearly 3% late at night, breaking below $4,500; Bitcoin fell below 80,000, dumping as low as around 76,845; Ethereum lost the 2,500 level. In the past 24 hours, 96,839 people were liquidated across the whole market, with total losses of $474 million. The bears swungālongs were wiped out in an instant.
Why is one speech so brutal?
First, Waller said the financial conditions are ānot really that restrictiveāāthe closest heās come since taking office to effectively admitting that a rate hike might be possible. Even former Fed Vice Chair Clarida said that if necessary, heās already prepared for a hike.
Second, at the July rate decision, three committee members argued for an immediate rate hikeāpatience inside the FOMC has a limited shelf life.
Third, donāt forget the bigger backdrop: over the past few weeks, Bitcoin has surged from 62,000 to 80,000. The faster it climbs, the more leverage gets stackedāso the washout hurts more.
But donāt panic yet. Spot Bitcoin ETFs have recorded net inflows for 9 straight days; in August they pulled in over $3 billion. BlackRockās IBIT bought a net $278 million on the day when prices were fallingāwhile retail traders got liquidated while the market was dropping.
My view: the 81,000ā82,500 range has repeatedly capped breakouts and failed. In the short term, if it doesnāt reclaim that area, rebounds are opportunities to trim your position. The key support zone is 75,000ā70,000. Before the September 15ā16 FOMC meeting, donāt bet on directionāmanage leverage first.
The Fed sneezes, and the crypto market has to do CPRāthis time it isnāt just a sneeze. Itās going straight onto a ventilator.
Do you think there really will be a rate hike in September?š
#é»éę¬åØäøč·3.24%
#ę²ä»ē§°éčęÆē¾čåØé¦č¦å ³ę³Ø #ęÆē¹åø24å°ę¶č·3.4%č³7.74äøē¾å
