2026-08-29 Contract Stuff

Market: BTC 77395 (-3.52%), 24h high 81479 low 76888. ETH 2425, -3.26%. Trading volume is relatively low, so the price can be easily moved by small orders.

A few structural observations:

1. The 65k level is the midline of the larger cycle. A break below and a reclaim above have different meanings; require confirmation with increased volume.
2. ETH’s exchange-rate level has been staying in the 0.028–0.029 range. Its rebound strength is weaker than BTC, and capital is still choosing to stay in BTC for risk-avoidance.
3. Today’s funding rate is positive, around 0.01%, indicating longs are paying but not in a rush; liquidation pressure is not high.

Framework:

- If key levels break, follow with a small position; set a stop-loss just below the structural level.
- Key levels: Above 65800 / 66500, Below 62800 / 61500
- Don’t exceed 2x account equity on one side; place the stop-loss outside the structural level
- Weekend liquidity is thin—limit orders should be prioritized over market orders

Is your current position more defensive or aggressive?

#BTC #合约风控 #Trading Observation

For personal observation only and does not constitute investment advice.