The crypto market is currently showing a fairly interesting signal: large capital on exchanges is heavily tilting toward selling, but institutional capital via ETFs continues to flow into BTC and ETH.
These two streams of data, seemingly contradictory, are creating a picture worth watching in the days ahead.
1. Large BTC cash flow moves to strong selling
Based on the data I track on-chain, in the last 24 hours:
Big buy: 11.383 BTC
Big sell: 13.131 BTC
🔻 Difference: -1.747 BTC
Looking at the last 3 days, the large-money flows were respectively:
+763 BTC → -1.044 BTC → -1.742 BTC
Total for 3 days:
👉 -2.023 BTC
Most notably, the most recent session had the largest net selling volume.
This shows that the profit-taking pressure from large orders is clearly increasing.
However, there is one very important point:
BTC’s price has not reacted negatively in proportion to this sell volume.
BTC is still hovering around the 79,000–79,300 USD range, while earlier it had risen to about 81,480 USD.
2. ETH is even more noteworthy than BTC
ETH data even shows stronger selling pressure.
In the last 3 days:
-30.515 ETH → +5.159 ETH → -22.381 ETH
Total:
👉 -47.737 ETH
For the most recent 24h only:
Big buy: 254.454 ETH
Big sell: 285.730 ETH
Difference: -31.276 ETH
So ETH is showing weaker large-fund inflows compared to BTC.
This also matches the 4H chart:
Price is fluctuating around $2,500
The nearest low is around $2.566
StochRSI is turning down
MACD is still below the signal line
Volume is decreasing
However, the price is still above the 20-day EMA
👉 Therefore, in my view, ETH is currently in a state of losing short-term momentum, not yet confirming a reversal to the uptrend.
3. What stands out: ETF is buying again
This is the most interesting part.
While large funds on the exchange are selling, ETF inflows are showing the opposite trend.
BTC ETF
In the last 3 days, capital roughly equivalent to:
+11.400 BTC
ETH ETF
Capital roughly equivalent to:
+181.700 ETH
In other words:
One side is taking profit, while the other side is still absorbing supply.
This could be why BTC and ETH have not been heavily dumped even though large funds on the exchange are negative.
need to combine exchange flow + ETF + price + volume.
And currently, these 4 factors have not fully aligned.
🚀 4. What if BTC holds 79K?
This is the scenario I want to keep an eye on.
If BTC:
79K holds steady → ETF funds keep flowing in → price returns to 80–81K → breaks 81,500 USD
so the large sell amount right now may simply be profit-taking that the market is absorbing.
Then the fact that BTC is still rising despite heavy selling would be a fairly bullish signal:
Some people are selling, but the buyers are strong enough to absorb the supply.
This is often a notable behavior in a strong uptrend.
🎯 Conclusion
Based on current data, I’m not leaning toward the market entering a major crash scenario.
I assess the current state as:
BTC: Up, but under profit-taking pressure
ETH: Weaker than BTC and needs close monitoring
ETF: Still an important support
Market: Likely a short-term correction
The most important thing right now is not to look at a single indicator.
For me, BTC’s 79K and ETH’s 2.447–2.485 USD will be key zones to watch very closely in the short term.
According to BTCVN4, there may be a slight adjustment to clear the way for a new uptrend, so everyone needs to be cautious during this time—especially the last two days of the weekend—always fully follow your stop-losses nhé.
The above is my personal analysis, not investment advice, guys.
BTCVN4 wishes you good luck
