I will share my thoughts about Bitcoin $BTC for today (28.08.2026, 11:00 UTC) and the next 24 hours.
At the moment, for a price decrease:
- there are 18% more sellers than buyers;
- very high uncertainty regarding a possible downside target of 77380 USDT;
- the market strength indicator has tilted downward;
- the current price is below 80000 USDT, which is favorable for the bears.
For a price increase:
- CCI is positive;
- RSI = 58, moving averages below the current price;
- there are 3 bullish patterns at once;
- there is strong hidden bullish divergence;
- there is an increase in liquidity volumes;
- when the price is pushed upward above 81K, a cascade of closing and liquidations of short positions will begin, which may move the price into the 82–84K range.
Summary: the overall probability of a price increase is 55%, and due to uncertainty—including in the options market and regarding the upcoming speech by the Fed Chair—possible positions both long and short are expected across a wide range of prices.
Below, in the photo, an average more likely chart of BTC price movement is provided. Instructions on how to use the chart are in the profile in the pinned file.
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