灼见

Bless all brothers and sisters with prosperous careers and a bright future $SOL ; may those who have wealth enjoy a steady flow of fortune; may those with heart have all their wishes come true; may those with dreams see their dreams come true; with love, may your love be as deep as the sea. Every day at 13:30 in the afternoon, Tangbao will be waiting for you in the live stream, okay?

What is the connection between kindness and cause and effect?
Zen isn’t chasing light outward;
it’s first living in a way that turns yourself into a lamp that can shine— #LUCIC

🔥Big-name guest｜Teacher KY suddenly joins the livestream
Former analyst at Western Securities; National-Level Senior Financial Analyst; selected for the National Talent Reserve.
15 years of full-time involvement in the crypto market, repeatedly and accurately capturing turning points in BTC bull and bear cycles; trained under veteran trader Xu Hanzhou.

Tonight’s free knowledge-sharing session ✅
Go beyond surface-level order-book signals｜analyze funding logic｜break down candlestick patterns｜put trading strategies into practice
Pure knowledge output with no commercial marketing—rebuild your understanding of trading in the secondary market!

I’ve seen many things bloom and fade 🌿
More and more I understand: doing something excellent every now and then isn’t the real skill
The hard part is doing it day after day—keeping your attitude and holding on to quality
Consistency itself is a kind of competitiveness 💛

The sunshine is just right, the breeze is quiet, and may this brightness not only illuminate this moment, but also warm you through every dawn and dusk to come.

On August 30, analyst Rekt Fencer published a BTC vs. Nasdaq 3-day chart ratio, marking three notable drawdowns: approximately -84.9% in 2018, about -80.7% in 2022, and currently around -54.3% in 2026. Rekt Fencer said that after the first two times Bitcoin fell behind the Nasdaq by such a large margin, it was followed by a very strong independent uptrend, and the price was then sharply driven upward in a straight surge. Now the ratio has dropped significantly again; history may repeat for the third time. The bottom is already near, and next BTC will strengthen again.

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$BTC Honestly, deep down, I actually expect more than anyone else that BTC will pull back to around 40,000.
If we really get to this level, my take can be discussed and held for years.

But reality is right in front of us: that big bullish candle for BTC has pierced through three moving averages in one move, and the overall market structure has completely changed.
I can’t stick to old habits and stubbornly insist that BTC will definitely return to 40,000.

Some people will question: I was looking at 50,000 the other day—so why did my view change so quickly?
To be honest, I’m also afraid—afraid of missing out on this bull market cycle.

Thinking must evolve with the market.
Right now is the early stage of a transition from bear to bull, just like what people in my hometown say: when a young person is just beginning to show their talent, the market is only just starting to wake up.

There’s still a chance to get in, but for BTC in the 50-thousand handle, we probably won’t be waiting for that again.
Opportunities for positioning still exist around 65,000 and 68,000; in the worst case, around 70,000. The probability of this opportunity is at least 50%.

A single misstep can become a lifelong regret—by the time you turn around, the bull market has already gone far.
Every time a bull market starts, the path is never a simple copy of the previous one. Trying to “cut a boat by the sword,” blindly replicating past patterns, will only mislead yourself—and mislead the people around you.

Humble yourself to the trend—there’s nothing shameful about it.
Of course, chasing long positions right now isn’t rational either. If this round can’t break through 8.3W, the market will likely come into a pullback, and most likely trade sideways in the 65,000–72,000 range for 3–5 months.
Then, once one day sees a breakout with strong volume, the bull market’s main surge toward 100,000 will officially begin—this is the scenario I think is most likely to play out next.

Why does the bodhisattva sit upside down? It’s a sigh for all sentient beings who refuse to turn back.

ETH will move in sync with BTC, oscillating as it pulls back to the 1,800–2,000 range—good for staged spot entries.
SOL dropping to 80–90 can be accumulated in batches.
PAXG pulling back to around 4,200–4,300 is worth watching; with multiple central banks continuously increasing large holdings, it’s something to pay attention to.

There are quite a few U.S. stock benchmarks. I’ll break them down one by one later. SPX won’t keep making lower lows; the rebound trend should continue. Previously, I planned long-term positions around 110, and that approach still holds.

Let me be candid here: I’m sorry—I was previously leaning too bearish. The market has already transitioned from bear to bull, and the bull market has only just started to show its head.

I hope the broader market will later offer a pullback. For family members who haven’t set up spot positions yet, you can use the pullback to enter in batches.
That’s all the thinking I can share. I hope everyone can抓紧 the cycle and time it well.

Citi Hong Kong Conference现场分享创业与人生复盘，预判资产代币化将打通传统证券与加密赛道，全球资产入口格局将发生改变。

$BTC Honestly, deep down, I actually expect more than anyone else that BTC will pull back to around 40,000.
If we really get to this level, my take can be discussed and held for years.

But reality is right in front of us: that big bullish candle for BTC has pierced through three moving averages in one move, and the overall market structure has completely changed.
I can’t stick to old habits and stubbornly insist that BTC will definitely return to 40,000.

Some people will question: I was looking at 50,000 the other day—so why did my view change so quickly?
To be honest, I’m also afraid—afraid of missing out on this bull market cycle.

Thinking must evolve with the market.
Right now is the early stage of a transition from bear to bull, just like what people in my hometown say: when a young person is just beginning to show their talent, the market is only just starting to wake up.

There’s still a chance to get in, but for BTC in the 50-thousand handle, we probably won’t be waiting for that again.
Opportunities for positioning still exist around 65,000 and 68,000; in the worst case, around 70,000. The probability of this opportunity is at least 50%.

A single misstep can become a lifelong regret—by the time you turn around, the bull market has already gone far.
Every time a bull market starts, the path is never a simple copy of the previous one. Trying to “cut a boat by the sword,” blindly replicating past patterns, will only mislead yourself—and mislead the people around you.

Humble yourself to the trend—there’s nothing shameful about it.
Of course, chasing long positions right now isn’t rational either. If this round can’t break through 8.3W, the market will likely come into a pullback, and most likely trade sideways in the 65,000–72,000 range for 3–5 months.
Then, once one day sees a breakout with strong volume, the bull market’s main surge toward 100,000 will officially begin—this is the scenario I think is most likely to play out next.

Why does the bodhisattva sit upside down? It’s a sigh for all sentient beings who refuse to turn back.

ETH will move in sync with BTC, oscillating as it pulls back to the 1,800–2,000 range—good for staged spot entries.
SOL dropping to 80–90 can be accumulated in batches.
PAXG pulling back to around 4,200–4,300 is worth watching; with multiple central banks continuously increasing large holdings, it’s something to pay attention to.

There are quite a few U.S. stock benchmarks. I’ll break them down one by one later. SPX won’t keep making lower lows; the rebound trend should continue. Previously, I planned long-term positions around 110, and that approach still holds.

Let me be candid here: I’m sorry—I was previously leaning too bearish. The market has already transitioned from bear to bull, and the bull market has only just started to show its head.

I hope the broader market will later offer a pullback. For family members who haven’t set up spot positions yet, you can use the pullback to enter in batches.
That’s all the thinking I can share. I hope everyone can抓紧 the cycle and time it well.

The biggest scandal on the whole internet right now is definitely the thing between Sun Yuchen and Jing Tian—it's getting more and more absurd the deeper people dig, and more and more suffocating the more you read. At first, it was simply an emotional dispute between a man and a woman, with money and personal interests tangled up. But Sun Yuchen has, step by step, turned it into an internet-wide public-opinion explosion.

A lot of people are eating the瓜 without even understanding what’s going on. Some are calling Jing Tian greedy for money, and some are calling Sun Yuchen extreme. It wasn’t until Hu Xijin stepped in with a long article that the whole thing was laid out and broken down in detail.

Hu Xijin directly concluded that Sun Yuchen’s actions are not about safeguarding his rights at all—this is pure malicious retaliation, with his moral bottom line completely shattered.

In Hu Xijin’s view, the root cause is that Sun Yuchen failed to win Jing Tian’s pursuit, and the two of them ended up entangled in controversy over huge betrothal gifts and large sums of money.

Whether the rumored 30 million yuan in betrothal gifts and 50 million USD are true or not, the plain fact is: this is basically a civil dispute over money.

Under normal logic, if they can’t work things out, then you go through legal procedures. If you owe money, you pay it back; if you need to provide evidence, you provide it—nothing more, nothing less.

But Sun Yuchen didn’t. He chose the darkest, most ruthless, most destructive move: exposing private information, openly tearing things apart, and making personal matters so widely known that everyone on earth can see.

The purpose isn’t even about getting money—it’s to make someone thoroughly “socially dead.”

Hu Xijin has a metaphor, and it really hits the nail on the head.

Sun Yuchen’s way of exposing someone else’s privacy is comparable to a man, after a breakup, posting his ex-girlfriend’s intimate photos. This isn’t an argument, and it’s not a dispute—it’s purely malicious venting anger, precisely ruining a person’s life.

Hu Xijin also said it’s no different from pushing someone off a building or disfiguring them. The only difference is that one harms the body, while the other destroys a life. The methods are different, but the maliciousness is the same.

Right now, the whole internet’s momentum is really chaotic. Some people are blindly jumping on the bandwagon to attack Jing Tian, while others are trying to whitewash Sun Yuchen’s extreme behavior. But we need to keep priorities straight. Greed is a flaw, but vicious character is the real evil. Private grudges are minor matters; destroying someone’s life is a major one.

This time, Sun Yuchen has “won” public attention but “lost” everything about his character. It looks like he has the upper hand in the moment, but in reality he has completely exposed the bigger picture—and his mindset. As for Jing Tian, yes, she does have her own problems. But absolutely none of this deserves such malicious retaliation, and absolutely it doesn’t reach the standard of an industry-wide ban. You can join the gossip, but don’t let yourself be swept along by the wrong rhythm. You can choose a side, but don’t flip good and evil. Peaceful parting ways, in good form, is the most decent bottom line for adults.

Sun Ge, this time you really lost a man’s sense of composure.

BNB short-term intraday saw a volume-backed dip; there is clear resistance pressure near the MA60, and the short-term structure is weak.

The key is whether it can reclaim the moving average later; otherwise, better to stay put and observe.

Personal records only, not investment advice. DYOR 📉 #BNB

BNB saw a volume-backed dip on the short-term chart, with clear pressure near MA60 and a softened short-term structure. The focus is whether it can reclaim the moving average later; if not, better to wait and observe. Personal notes only, not financial advice. DYOR 📉

May your life be like a poem, warm and bright; may you be happy every year and successful in all things.
May your life be like a poem, warm and bright; may you be happy every year and successful in all things.

Today (August 31) is the deadline for the official delisting of USDT by digital bank Revolut. The platform will automatically convert users’ remaining USDT holdings into fiat currency based on the exchange rate of that day. This is another landmark event highlighting the ongoing tightening of European crypto compliance.

Meanwhile, the G20 finance ministers and central bank governors meeting is being held today in North Carolina, following up on last week’s Jackson Hole meeting—global inflation and the direction of monetary policy are worth watching.

In addition, the NFT collateral lending platform NFTfi officially ended operations today and took its front-end website offline; the all-in-one token deployment platform Printr also ceased all operations today.

May you give yourself a recharge today.

Even if it’s just closing your eyes for ten minutes during your lunch break, or listening to a song you love on your way home from work.

Don’t treat yourself like a perpetual motion machine—you also need to stop and catch your breath.

Only when your battery is fully charged can you take in all the good opportunities life throws your way.

Today, take care of yourself first, and then the whole world.

In your twenties, you’re always afraid that you’re falling behind. Watching others get promoted, buy a home, get married, and travel the world makes you anxious like ants on a hot pan—you can’t help but want to turn your life into someone else’s overnight.

Later, you gradually come to understand that life isn’t a competition, but a practice meant for you. Some people soak instant noodles for three minutes; others simmer soup for three hours. Some marry the love of their life at twenty; others meet their true love in their forties. Once you’ve chosen the way you want, commit to it—don’t overthink.

Everyone blooms at a different time, so there’s no need to worry about others having things earlier than you do. When the sun goes down, moonlight arrives; when the moon fades, morning sun rises. Everything in this world will have the answers it’s meant to have.

Don’t rush. Take your time. You just keep growing—leave the rest to time.