NVDA This market is the most contradictory: aggressive buying volume spiked 53% in 7 hours. The spot buy-side stacks an order book twice as thick as the sell-side, and it looks like money is pouring in—yet the price is still creeping downward under the 15-minute dual moving averages. Over the past 24 hours, it not only failed to rise, it even shrank by 0.53%.

If money has entered the market, why can’t it push the price up? Look at the futures contract side. You’ll understand immediately: the futures open interest fell by 2.8% in a day, and the share of whale long accounts dropped by nearly 6% over 7 hours. The proportion of long positions also declined. The main players are quietly reducing longs. The incoming buying is “retail capital” propping up the market—not “attacking” capital. The more fiercely people buy, the more it looks like they’re taking inventory for the main players.

The 4-hour structure shows a net gain of 1.79%, yet the latest candlestick turned bearish. Momentum has stalled below the 230.34 level. The full-day low at 221.14 is the last line of defense for the bulls—once that breaks, the next leg begins.

I’m shorting, entering around 225.3. First target: 221.1. If that level breaks, I expect acceleration. The only risk is that the spot buy wall is thick enough and the active buy volume is still expanding. If price can reclaim and hold above the 226.3 dual moving averages and the 4-hour chart turns bullish, then this move is the “real” main force—I’ll cut the loss and reverse. #nvda $NVDA