Current BTC is 79,774. I lean more toward LONG than SHORT because the 4H timeframe is still above the EMA25 and Supertrend, and the bullish structure has not been broken.
Best LONG setup: wait for BTC to pull back to 78.3–78.8, then look for a 15m/1H candle confirmation to bounce up.
SHORT: only worth trading if BTC reaches 81.2–81.5 but clearly gets rejected. If the 4H closes above 81.5, I will skip the short trade, because then the probability of continuing up toward 83–84k is higher.
LONG pullback
* Entry: 78.800 – 79.200
* SL: 77.800
* TP1: 80.500
* TP2: 81.400
* TP3: 82.400 – 83.000
If you enter around 79,000 → SL 77.800, the risk is about 1.5%.
🔴 SHORT only when there is a clear rejection at the top range
* Entry: 81.200 – 81.500
* SL: 82.300
* TP1: 80.000
* TP2: 78.800
* TP3: 77.300
#btc #TinFed #BTC market analysis
Best LONG setup: wait for BTC to pull back to 78.3–78.8, then look for a 15m/1H candle confirmation to bounce up.
SHORT: only worth trading if BTC reaches 81.2–81.5 but clearly gets rejected. If the 4H closes above 81.5, I will skip the short trade, because then the probability of continuing up toward 83–84k is higher.
LONG pullback
* Entry: 78.800 – 79.200
* SL: 77.800
* TP1: 80.500
* TP2: 81.400
* TP3: 82.400 – 83.000
If you enter around 79,000 → SL 77.800, the risk is about 1.5%.
🔴 SHORT only when there is a clear rejection at the top range
* Entry: 81.200 – 81.500
* SL: 82.300
* TP1: 80.000
* TP2: 78.800
* TP3: 77.300
#btc #TinFed #BTC market analysis