A giant whale sells off and dumps $180 million, and will the $BTC “big cake” 80,000-level be a real iron floor or just paper?
I came across a trade-board analysis and it sounds pretty solid—so I’ll briefly share my take.
An hour ago, a whale sent 1,350 BTC to Coinbase Prime at $BTC , with an average price around 96,000. It’s currently floating at a 15% loss. Even cutting losses has been done with a clear sense of timing. On the surface, there’s net inflow of $132 million in the past hour, but over the last 4 hours and 8 hours it’s been net outflow of $250 million. This looks like “support to lure longs” while quietly shifting the plot—keeping a backup plan hidden.
The candlesticks are also honest: 79,848 was hard-pushed down and then rebounded weakly. The MACD has a soft, underwater golden cross, and the RSI can’t even hold above 50. Open interest is still shrinking, which suggests… no one is stepping in. A rebound back to 81,500 with low volume is basically just handing people targets to be stopped out.
Last year, that whale repeatedly topped up three times consecutively. BTC dropped from 83,000 straight down to 76,000. History may not repeat exactly, but the rhyme always ends up on the same beat.
The trading idea is pretty clear: the aggressive camp shorts at the current price around 79,820; the more conservative camp shorts around 81,500—between 81,200. Only if it holds firmly above 87,500 would I consider going long.
Don’t go head-to-head with the openly displayed opponent on-chain. If he deposits coins and you try to bottom-fish, you end up standing guard while he counts the money.
#比特币
I came across a trade-board analysis and it sounds pretty solid—so I’ll briefly share my take.
An hour ago, a whale sent 1,350 BTC to Coinbase Prime at $BTC , with an average price around 96,000. It’s currently floating at a 15% loss. Even cutting losses has been done with a clear sense of timing. On the surface, there’s net inflow of $132 million in the past hour, but over the last 4 hours and 8 hours it’s been net outflow of $250 million. This looks like “support to lure longs” while quietly shifting the plot—keeping a backup plan hidden.
The candlesticks are also honest: 79,848 was hard-pushed down and then rebounded weakly. The MACD has a soft, underwater golden cross, and the RSI can’t even hold above 50. Open interest is still shrinking, which suggests… no one is stepping in. A rebound back to 81,500 with low volume is basically just handing people targets to be stopped out.
Last year, that whale repeatedly topped up three times consecutively. BTC dropped from 83,000 straight down to 76,000. History may not repeat exactly, but the rhyme always ends up on the same beat.
The trading idea is pretty clear: the aggressive camp shorts at the current price around 79,820; the more conservative camp shorts around 81,500—between 81,200. Only if it holds firmly above 87,500 would I consider going long.
Don’t go head-to-head with the openly displayed opponent on-chain. If he deposits coins and you try to bottom-fish, you end up standing guard while he counts the money.
#比特币
巨鲸砸盘是信号，顺势做空
67%
8 万附近有支撑，逢低做多
33%
12 votes • Voting closed
