Half a year ago 5 points, today 81—yet the market is up only 0.98%
The Fear & Greed Index is at 81 today, Extreme Greed.
Yesterday was 82, the highest point this year. And the year’s low was 5 on February 6th, Extreme Fear.
In half a year, it went from 5 to 82. Emotions completed a full round trip.
But what’s really worth looking at isn’t this number—it’s the clash between the two figures below:
Total market cap +0.98%, 24-hour trading volume +27.42%.
Translated: trading volume surged by nearly 30%, while market cap moved less than 1%.
Money is whizzing in and out wildly, but prices barely budge. This means high-frequency rotation is happening—someone is buying, while someone else is selling them their chips.
When sentiment was hottest, volume exploded while prices lagged. Historically, this combination usually doesn’t show up on the hillside midway up.
Now look at how sentiment climbs:
Last month 35 (Fear) → Last week 74 (Greed) → Yesterday 82 (Extreme Greed)
In a month, it surged from fear to the year’s peak. The faster sentiment climbs, the faster it falls back.
I don’t use this indicator as buy/sell signals—it doesn’t have that kind of precision. I only use it for one thing: deciding whether I should be aggressive or hold back.
With this reading now, my move is to dial down the size of new positions, raise the take-profit targets on existing holdings, and not chase fresh highs.
Not because I’m bearish. It’s just that when other people are shouting “This is only just starting,” I’d rather keep a few rounds of ammo for “in case it’s wrong.”
One counterintuitive note: opportunities to make big money almost all appear when this indicator is in the single digits. That 5-point reading this year was on February 6th. What were you doing that day? $BTC $ETH
The Fear & Greed Index is at 81 today, Extreme Greed.
Yesterday was 82, the highest point this year. And the year’s low was 5 on February 6th, Extreme Fear.
In half a year, it went from 5 to 82. Emotions completed a full round trip.
But what’s really worth looking at isn’t this number—it’s the clash between the two figures below:
Total market cap +0.98%, 24-hour trading volume +27.42%.
Translated: trading volume surged by nearly 30%, while market cap moved less than 1%.
Money is whizzing in and out wildly, but prices barely budge. This means high-frequency rotation is happening—someone is buying, while someone else is selling them their chips.
When sentiment was hottest, volume exploded while prices lagged. Historically, this combination usually doesn’t show up on the hillside midway up.
Now look at how sentiment climbs:
Last month 35 (Fear) → Last week 74 (Greed) → Yesterday 82 (Extreme Greed)
In a month, it surged from fear to the year’s peak. The faster sentiment climbs, the faster it falls back.
I don’t use this indicator as buy/sell signals—it doesn’t have that kind of precision. I only use it for one thing: deciding whether I should be aggressive or hold back.
With this reading now, my move is to dial down the size of new positions, raise the take-profit targets on existing holdings, and not chase fresh highs.
Not because I’m bearish. It’s just that when other people are shouting “This is only just starting,” I’d rather keep a few rounds of ammo for “in case it’s wrong.”
One counterintuitive note: opportunities to make big money almost all appear when this indicator is in the single digits. That 5-point reading this year was on February 6th. What were you doing that day? $BTC $ETH