💥 The towering tree begins from the tiniest sprout; the nine-tiered platform rises from piled earth; a journey of a thousand miles starts beneath your feet. Great matters grow from small accumulations—take it slow, and keep doing it.
💥 Misfortune leans on blessing, and blessing hides misfortune. 💥 Misfortune and fortune depend on each other and can be transformed; when you’re in a low point, there’s no need to despair, and when you’re in good times, you must not be arrogant.
Tonight at 22:00, 5.73 million people around the world are waiting for the Fed to speak—but I advise you not to stay up.
Top of the trending list: 5.73 million views, and 1,192 posts are flooding the screen. Tonight at 22:00 Beijing time, at Jackson Hole, the Fed Chair, Powell Walsh, will deliver his first keynote address. The setup is like the Super Bowl—like the moment he opens his mouth, global assets will be reshuffled.
But I suggest you take a breath for three seconds first. This is most likely the grandest “formality” of 2026.
Let me say something that may offend people: at Jackson Hole, historically 90% of the speeches are “correct nonsense.” “We will rely on the data,” “policy will remain flexible,” “camera-choice decisions”—translated into plain English, it means: I said nothing, so don’t make wild guesses. The Fed chair is the most skilled talker in the world. Their talent is finishing a 40-minute speech and somehow you still can’t extract any useful information.
And think about it: core PCE is still stuck above 2%, initial jobless claims are holding steady at 203,000, and oil prices have just returned to $90. With this combination, what can Walsh even say? Cutting rates? He’s not that crazy. Raising rates? He’s not that crazy either. So the answer tonight is already written in the data: hold steady and keep waiting.
What you should really watch isn’t tonight at all. First, the September dot plot—that’s where the Fed truly reveals its hand. Second, next Friday’s CPI—data is worth a hundred times more than all the talk. In plain terms, tonight’s speech is basically giving the whole market “a sense of ceremony,” so both longs and shorts have an excuse to move a bit.
If you genuinely care about your position, listen to me: don’t stay up waiting for a man who will most likely say nothing at all. Save your energy for the September dot plot and the CPI. The little volatility in the short term isn’t a signal—it’s noise. #1688家族family
Let me say something that might get me criticized:
If you’re going all-in around the $80,000 BTC level, you’re either a real pro or a real rookie.
From $62,000 to $79,000—up 27% in two weeks.
It moves fast, but the risk isn’t small either.
At the $80,000 level, there’s resistance from the previous highs above, and selling pressure from profit-takers below—no matter how you look at it, it doesn’t seem like a place for “safe full allocation.”
But I also understand those who are fully allocated:
After being sidelined for more than half a month, you finally chased in—while everyone around you is making money. It creates anxiety. You believe the bull market just started. To you, $80,000 is only the foot of the mountain.
With trading, though, position management matters more than directional judgment.
If you get the direction wrong, with a lighter position you can still hold on;
If you get the direction right, with a heavy position one pullback can wipe you out.
Let me say something that might get me criticized:
If you’re going all-in around the $80,000 BTC level, you’re either a real pro or a real rookie.
From $62,000 to $79,000—up 27% in two weeks.
It moves fast, but the risk isn’t small either.
At the $80,000 level, there’s resistance from the previous highs above, and selling pressure from profit-takers below—no matter how you look at it, it doesn’t seem like a place for “safe full allocation.”
But I also understand those who are fully allocated:
After being sidelined for more than half a month, you finally chased in—while everyone around you is making money. It creates anxiety. You believe the bull market just started. To you, $80,000 is only the foot of the mountain.
With trading, though, position management matters more than directional judgment.
If you get the direction wrong, with a lighter position you can still hold on;
If you get the direction right, with a heavy position one pullback can wipe you out.
Let me say something that might get me criticized:
If you’re going all-in around the $80,000 BTC level, you’re either a real pro or a real rookie.
From $62,000 to $79,000—up 27% in two weeks.
It moves fast, but the risk isn’t small either.
At the $80,000 level, there’s resistance from the previous highs above, and selling pressure from profit-takers below—no matter how you look at it, it doesn’t seem like a place for “safe full allocation.”
But I also understand those who are fully allocated:
After being sidelined for more than half a month, you finally chased in—while everyone around you is making money. It creates anxiety. You believe the bull market just started. To you, $80,000 is only the foot of the mountain.
With trading, though, position management matters more than directional judgment.
If you get the direction wrong, with a lighter position you can still hold on;
If you get the direction right, with a heavy position one pullback can wipe you out.
Let me say something that might get me criticized:
If you’re going all-in around the $80,000 BTC level, you’re either a real pro or a real rookie.
From $62,000 to $79,000—up 27% in two weeks.
It moves fast, but the risk isn’t small either.
At the $80,000 level, there’s resistance from the previous highs above, and selling pressure from profit-takers below—no matter how you look at it, it doesn’t seem like a place for “safe full allocation.”
But I also understand those who are fully allocated:
After being sidelined for more than half a month, you finally chased in—while everyone around you is making money. It creates anxiety. You believe the bull market just started. To you, $80,000 is only the foot of the mountain.
With trading, though, position management matters more than directional judgment.
If you get the direction wrong, with a lighter position you can still hold on;
If you get the direction right, with a heavy position one pullback can wipe you out.
Hot commotion disturbs the heart, and upswings and downswings are all part of the norm✨ Reject FOMO emotions—don’t blindly follow the crowd into the fray. Endless market opportunities exist; your principal is the real trump card. Slow down, steady your mind, protect your position, and patiently wait for your moment. Wishing you all calm comings and goings, and ever-rising returns🧧
🚀 Bitcoin bull market signals are strengthening! CryptoQuant’s latest report shows: 📈 Since August 17, Bitcoin is up by about 24% 🔥 Price has reached as high as $80,000 More importantly, market sentiment is undergoing a clear shift: ✅ The bull score has risen from 30 to 80 ✅ It has set the highest bullish level since October 6, 2025 ✅ Out of 10 core indicators, 8 have turned bullish What does this mean? The market is gradually moving from the “range repair phase” into a new trend cycle. 📊 Three key changes are worth watching: 1️⃣ Spot demand is rebounding fast Bitcoin spot apparent demand is growing at the fastest pace since late December last year. Meanwhile: Spot demand + futures demand For the first time since early October 2025, both are expanding in sync. This often indicates that capital is flowing back into the market. 2️⃣ Bull confirmation still depends on key levels CryptoQuant believes: The market has already entered the early stage of a new bull cycle. But for the trend to be truly confirmed, Bitcoin needs to stabilize above: 🔥 The 365-day moving average around $83,000 A breakout and sustained hold could become an important signal for the next phase. 3️⃣ Short-term risks are building up Even during a bull market, watch for potential overheating: ⚠️ Unrealized profit margin has risen to 20.5% ⚠️ A new high since June 2025 ⚠️ On August 20, a “giant whale” realized profit of $614 million #比特币升破8万美元创三月新高 $BTC