📊 MACRO FLOW RADAR 24H — 27/08/2026
Capital flows currently have no clear winner; mixed, leaning slightly toward Crypto. ₿ BTC is the standout asset, but USD/Rates have not cooled enough to confirm a broad risk-on move.
🔎 Flow Summary:
• Inflow: unclear
• Outflow: unclear
• Slight tilt: Crypto ₿
• Market Flow Winner: Mixed, leaning slightly toward Crypto
• Risk Regime: Mixed, leaning Risk-on
• Flow Score: +25
📌 Key evidence:
₿ Crypto: BTC-USD on Coinbase is around 79.976 USD, while the 24h open in stats is 78.696 USD → BTC is up about +1.65%/24h. The ticker and stats match closely, so the Crypto signal is relatively clean right now.
📈 Equities: supported, but the tone is more tech/AI-specific flow 🤖, not enough to call it a broad macro risk-on move.
💵 USD/Rates: still mixed. DXY remains firm while US 10Y is slightly lower. Real yield/FRED is only daily context data, so it is not used for strong intraday scoring.
🥇 Gold: slightly higher and supported, but DXY has not clearly weakened, so it is not yet enough to become the main inflow.
📰 Post-event: July PCE was a bit hotter than expected on headline, but the post-news reaction did not create a unanimous USD/Rates shock. Therefore, USD/Rates have not reclaimed the winner position.
🔮 Probability of capital flow regime in the next 24h:
• Mixed / no clear winner: 35%
• Crypto leads: 25%
• Equities lead: 20%
• USD/Rates: 12%
• Gold: 8%
⚖️ No dominant scenario.
⚠️ Reversal warning:
If DXY together with 2Y/10Y turns up clearly, USD/Rates could quickly regain the edge. Conversely, if BTC loses momentum and equities turn red with VIX rising, the current slight Risk-on bias will be invalidated.
🚫 Not a buy/sell recommendation.
Capital flows currently have no clear winner; mixed, leaning slightly toward Crypto. ₿ BTC is the standout asset, but USD/Rates have not cooled enough to confirm a broad risk-on move.
🔎 Flow Summary:
• Inflow: unclear
• Outflow: unclear
• Slight tilt: Crypto ₿
• Market Flow Winner: Mixed, leaning slightly toward Crypto
• Risk Regime: Mixed, leaning Risk-on
• Flow Score: +25
📌 Key evidence:
₿ Crypto: BTC-USD on Coinbase is around 79.976 USD, while the 24h open in stats is 78.696 USD → BTC is up about +1.65%/24h. The ticker and stats match closely, so the Crypto signal is relatively clean right now.
📈 Equities: supported, but the tone is more tech/AI-specific flow 🤖, not enough to call it a broad macro risk-on move.
💵 USD/Rates: still mixed. DXY remains firm while US 10Y is slightly lower. Real yield/FRED is only daily context data, so it is not used for strong intraday scoring.
🥇 Gold: slightly higher and supported, but DXY has not clearly weakened, so it is not yet enough to become the main inflow.
📰 Post-event: July PCE was a bit hotter than expected on headline, but the post-news reaction did not create a unanimous USD/Rates shock. Therefore, USD/Rates have not reclaimed the winner position.
🔮 Probability of capital flow regime in the next 24h:
• Mixed / no clear winner: 35%
• Crypto leads: 25%
• Equities lead: 20%
• USD/Rates: 12%
• Gold: 8%
⚖️ No dominant scenario.
⚠️ Reversal warning:
If DXY together with 2Y/10Y turns up clearly, USD/Rates could quickly regain the edge. Conversely, if BTC loses momentum and equities turn red with VIX rising, the current slight Risk-on bias will be invalidated.
🚫 Not a buy/sell recommendation.