53,463.88 — that is where the Dow closed, down 0.21%, and behind that number sits a far more human story about what certainty costs.

Core PCE came in at 0.2% month-on-month, holding annual inflation at 3.3%, and for ordinary households that figure is not abstract. It means the grocery bill, the rent check, the car payment all still carry the same weight they did a year ago while wage growth stays flat.

Fed Chair Kevin Warsh speaks Friday at Jackson Hole, and 3.3% inflation gives him little room to offer comfort. The 110-point Dow decline is small in percentage terms, but it reflects a market that has stopped waiting for relief and started pricing in the possibility that relief is not coming.