To be honest, in high-odds moments, I choose to take the opposite side instead of going along with my emotions. After this wave was pulled up—$TAC , the volume and energy structure clearly can’t keep up. That four-hour-level bullish candle looks impressive, but the buy orders supporting it afterward have become weaker and weaker. I’ve seen this kind of divergence way too many times—it’s often a short-term game of self-direction and self-performance by funds. Let’s replay this move: from the bottom rebound to now, the price has risen, but the peak in trading volume is actually declining. What does that mean?

It means fewer and fewer people are willing to chase higher at this level, while earlier trapped capital is always ready to cash out. The price is grinding at high levels, but internally it’s already hollow. It’s like a pole vault reaching the very top—the next direction can only be down. I think this current pullback hasn’t finished yet. The more the market’s sentiment feels like it can’t drop further, the easier it is to get one bearish candle that crushes all fantasies.

From the perspective of short-term trading, the risk-reward of shorting is now clearly better than going long. That prior high position above serves as a natural stop-loss reference, while once the downside opens up, the profit thickness is much more comfortable than chasing longs. I don’t like going against the trend in a rally with strong volume, but when a surge in a certain asset begins to hold itself up with decreasing volume, that’s my moment to act. The market won’t lie—the vote cast with people’s feet tells the story: fewer and fewer are chasing longs at this spot, while the shorts are quietly building up momentum.

Gaze at the vastness of mountains and seas; observe the subtle shifts in the market.
Travel alongside Uncle Xiong—see gains and losses through the changing sky.

#TAC

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