đ¤ŁStill red after 24 hoursâit's up more than four percent, and then brothers start shouting âbreakoutââbut look down and see whoâs actually smashing sell orders at market price. Theyâre actively selling and pinning buy orders down; the long/short ratio has been pushed below 0.8. That recent upswingâthere werenât even that many people truly taking it.
All the money is getting pulled out now. On the spot side, you canât even find a single net inflow from big ordersâfive candles, all zero. The rally never had real big funds putting their money where their mouth is from start to finish; itâs just contract leverage propping it up. This isnât a âpumpââitâs a âshort pump.â
And the contracts are still bleeding everyone: over a day, open interest shrank by nearly two points; the funding/fees hit zero and then just lies there. Going long doesnât even require paying interestâwho would bother holding it up.
What gives it away even more is the whales. On the books, theyâre still posing with more than 70% longs, but in reality their positions cut a few more percentage points over the last seven hours. Under the red K, itâs all whales moving money out. The price is also sliding below both moving averages now. On the four-hour chart, the direction has gone FLAT; in the last six candles, four are bearish. From the high point, they canât keep up that momentum anymore.
Holding on at the high wonât last more than a few days. The first to withdraw is always the market-makerâs wallet. đśThis time the âshowâ isnât even being performedâif you donât short it, it turns around and shorts you; only shorting can make money. Only when spot big orders truly turn net positive with real money in real life, active buy-side volume comes back above 50%, and price steps back above the moving averages againâthatâs when the longs are truly back, and the bearish thesis is off. Until then, đł itâs over. #crcl $CRCL
All the money is getting pulled out now. On the spot side, you canât even find a single net inflow from big ordersâfive candles, all zero. The rally never had real big funds putting their money where their mouth is from start to finish; itâs just contract leverage propping it up. This isnât a âpumpââitâs a âshort pump.â
And the contracts are still bleeding everyone: over a day, open interest shrank by nearly two points; the funding/fees hit zero and then just lies there. Going long doesnât even require paying interestâwho would bother holding it up.
What gives it away even more is the whales. On the books, theyâre still posing with more than 70% longs, but in reality their positions cut a few more percentage points over the last seven hours. Under the red K, itâs all whales moving money out. The price is also sliding below both moving averages now. On the four-hour chart, the direction has gone FLAT; in the last six candles, four are bearish. From the high point, they canât keep up that momentum anymore.
Holding on at the high wonât last more than a few days. The first to withdraw is always the market-makerâs wallet. đśThis time the âshowâ isnât even being performedâif you donât short it, it turns around and shorts you; only shorting can make money. Only when spot big orders truly turn net positive with real money in real life, active buy-side volume comes back above 50%, and price steps back above the moving averages againâthatâs when the longs are truly back, and the bearish thesis is off. Until then, đł itâs over. #crcl $CRCL
