🔥🔥🔥 $BTC Surpassing $80,000, the real main storyline may not be that “the bull market is back,” but that the “devaluation trade” has restarted.

BTC
BTCUSDT
77,700.6
-3.32%

On August 25, BTC regained the $80,000 mark after 102 days, re-entering above $2,500; SOL briefly broke through $100.

ETH
ETHUSDT
2,440.17
-2.91%

More importantly: gold $XAU and BTC are rising in tandem, while Nvidia has fallen for seven straight days, and the Nasdaq remains under pressure.

XAUT
XAUTUSDT
4,456.07
-2.62%

This shows that capital is becoming clearly differentiated 👇

1️⃣ Treasury buybacks ignite the devaluation trade

The U.S. Treasury expands the scale of long-term Treasury buybacks, and the market is still betting that TGA funds may be used next.

The logic is simple:

Pressure on long-term bond yields → Treasury intervention → expectation of a weaker dollar → gold/BTC benefit.

So this round of BTC’s rally may be trading not only “a crypto market recovery,” but also the early pricing-in of a decline in the dollar’s purchasing power.

But note: the exact amount TGA will be used is still uncertain; the market may have priced in too many expectations in advance.

2️⃣ ETF inflows + a two-pronged push from short-covering stampedes

Last week, spot BTC ETFs saw net inflows of about $1.92 billion, and ETH ETFs saw net inflows of about $697 million.

Meanwhile, a large number of leveraged shorts are liquidated; after BTC breaks $70,000 and $75,000, it forms a continuous short-squeeze.

So this upswing has both real capital and passive buy orders.

The question is: after the shorts are mostly cleared out, can the market still keep pushing higher on the back of new money?

3️⃣ AI is going through valuation validation

The most interesting part, though, is NVIDIA.

For seven straight days before the earnings report, stocks fell; the AI hardware sector is also under pressure at the same time.

What the market used to believe was:

AI demand surges → Nvidia’s earnings beat expectations → AI assets continue to rise.

Now it’s starting to become:

Can AI demand actually translate into sustained profits?

Once the market shifts from “telling stories” to “calculating returns,” capital will naturally look for new assets with clear certainty.

Gold and BTC are becoming candidates in that mix.

4️⃣ $80,000 isn’t the end—it’s the touchstone

What BTC truly needs to watch next isn’t just “can it touch $80,000,” but:

Can it hold $80,000 and break through the $81,000–$83,000 resistance zone?

If it holds, the trend may open up further.

If the breakout fails, $75,000–$77,000 could become an important pullback area.

What really determines BTC’s next phase direction may not be a single piece of news, but rather:

Can U.S. Treasury repo operations + a weaker dollar + ETF inflows + a split in AI capital form a resonance?

If the correlation continues, $80,000 might just be the starting point.

If PCE comes in hotter than expected, the Fed is more hawkish, and U.S. Treasury yields rise again, this “devaluation trade” could cool down quickly.

What’s most important now isn’t FOMO.

Instead, focus on two numbers:

BTC: Can it hold above $80,000?

Can the previous high of $82,800 be broken?

These two levels may determine whether the next leg is a continued surge or a deeper shakeout.