📊【Crypto Morning News 8/26】BTC Breaks Above $78K—Is the Bull Market Really Here?
Latest data in the early hours: three key events decide today’s direction 👇
🔥 1) BTC weekly RSI shows a divergence at “the level of the 2022 bear-market bottom”
CryptoQuant confirms: BTC’s 24% rebound has flipped the long/short indicator. The weekly RSI at 58.3 mirrors the pattern from 6 months before the end of the 2022 bear market. Real Vision’s chief analyst Jamie Coutts directly said: the weekly chart is the key to judging cycle turning points. Daily RSI has already surged to 83—most overbought since Nov 2024.
⚡ 2) U.S. spot BTC ETF sees 6 consecutive days of inflows, totaling $2.26B
Yesterday’s single-day inflow was $337M; last week’s total was $1.92B (the strongest week since last October). ETH ETFs also saw 6 straight days of inflows,累计 $810M. Institutional funds are clearly replenishing—not retail doing a solo performance.
🎯 3) $83K is the bull-bear watershed
Above it = a new bull market has started. Losing it = a pullback, with another test of $76K. Today and the next 3 days are the critical window.
📈 Current snapshot:
• BTC $78,412 (-0.5% 24h | +22.2% 7d)
• ETH $2,438 (-1.5% 24h | +28.4% 7d)
• SOL $96.6 (+40% monthly, RWA narrative)
• Fear & Greed Index 74 (greed, highest since 2025-10)
• BTC dominance 59.8% (capital returning to the leader)
⚠️ Hidden risks:
• Strategy has sold BTC 4 times since May; last time was 1,690 BTC
• MSTR’s real risk isn’t a massive BTC crash—it’s tighter financing channels
• Gold/U.S. Treasuries weakening in sync increases correlation among risk assets
💡 Personal view: A pullback to $78K is healthy “washout.” Watch whether ETF inflows keep coming + whether price can break above $83K. Don’t chase; don’t panic. Six straight days of BTC ETF inflows aren’t retail behavior—it’s large capital voting with real money.
#BTC #ETH #加密货币 #ETF #bull_market
Latest data in the early hours: three key events decide today’s direction 👇
🔥 1) BTC weekly RSI shows a divergence at “the level of the 2022 bear-market bottom”
CryptoQuant confirms: BTC’s 24% rebound has flipped the long/short indicator. The weekly RSI at 58.3 mirrors the pattern from 6 months before the end of the 2022 bear market. Real Vision’s chief analyst Jamie Coutts directly said: the weekly chart is the key to judging cycle turning points. Daily RSI has already surged to 83—most overbought since Nov 2024.
⚡ 2) U.S. spot BTC ETF sees 6 consecutive days of inflows, totaling $2.26B
Yesterday’s single-day inflow was $337M; last week’s total was $1.92B (the strongest week since last October). ETH ETFs also saw 6 straight days of inflows,累计 $810M. Institutional funds are clearly replenishing—not retail doing a solo performance.
🎯 3) $83K is the bull-bear watershed
Above it = a new bull market has started. Losing it = a pullback, with another test of $76K. Today and the next 3 days are the critical window.
📈 Current snapshot:
• BTC $78,412 (-0.5% 24h | +22.2% 7d)
• ETH $2,438 (-1.5% 24h | +28.4% 7d)
• SOL $96.6 (+40% monthly, RWA narrative)
• Fear & Greed Index 74 (greed, highest since 2025-10)
• BTC dominance 59.8% (capital returning to the leader)
⚠️ Hidden risks:
• Strategy has sold BTC 4 times since May; last time was 1,690 BTC
• MSTR’s real risk isn’t a massive BTC crash—it’s tighter financing channels
• Gold/U.S. Treasuries weakening in sync increases correlation among risk assets
💡 Personal view: A pullback to $78K is healthy “washout.” Watch whether ETF inflows keep coming + whether price can break above $83K. Don’t chase; don’t panic. Six straight days of BTC ETF inflows aren’t retail behavior—it’s large capital voting with real money.
#BTC #ETH #加密货币 #ETF #bull_market