[Have you really understood this AVAX rebound?]

When you see FNG74, don’t you start itching to get in?

Hold on—don’t get carried away. Let me tell you a lesson I learned back in 2017: when the greed index breaks 70, the market’s money has already been taken by the people who got in earlier. What’s left for those who come later isn’t profit—it’s paperwork.

This round of AVAX has bounced up from the lows by nearly 20%. On the news front, it’s all the same old scripts like “the ecosystem is developing well” and “technical upgrades.” But have you thought about this—has this kind of script actually changed AVAX’s fundamentals?

Honestly, I can’t tell whether it’s worth the current price. But I was “cut” once in 2017 using the same kind of play. This time, my choice is: watch the show.

That said, you can’t ignore it completely. The spot of FNG74 is indeed interesting—not a “go long” signal. It suggests that sentiment might not be at the top yet. The real top happens when everyone feels “it’s safe now.” Right now, although greed is high, there are still people hesitating. That means there’s still a chance for additional inflows.

So my conclusion is simple: I won’t place a bet on this, but I also won’t leave the game. I’ve seen both wins and losses—now we just watch how this one plays out.

What’s your mindset right now? Are you brave enough to follow this move? I’m honestly a bit tempted too, but I remind myself: in 2017, that itching cost me a six-figure loss.