Active buying accounted for 62%, and in the 7 hours that followed, it still released 126% of the volume. This HYPE move looks like the bulls are charging all-out. But when you open the open-interest data, in a single day it shrank by 10.9%—and it gets tagged as bull_weak. The more aggressively people buy, the thinner the positions become. This isn’t new capital entering; it’s shorts queuing up to cover. A short-squeeze environment is burning itself out.

Price is up +38.9% over the week, topping out and nearly touching the prior high at 83.485. But the one actually “receiving” the orders is only the contract-level closing orders: spot large orders are showing net inflow at zero, and in the top twenty order book levels, sell walls are thicker than buys. Over 7 hours, the whale positions were slashed from 1.66 all the way down to -9.57%. Real money didn’t come into the spot market—this rally is the tuition paid by crowded leveraged short positions.

From 82.5 to 83.5, I’m standing with the shorts. I’ll short near the prior high and aim for a pullback to 76.7–80. Stop-loss goes above 83.485 in a breakout with volume.

Going long has only one condition: when price breaks to new highs, open interest must turn and rise again, and spot large-order net inflow must turn positive—only then would it be genuine new bulls entering. Until that happens, this is the last surge at the end of the short-squeeze.

#hype $HYPE